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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $180
tr/day 0.3
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 29/34/50
draw 81%
Kalshi 47%
active 6d
bet $239
tr/day 0.5
WR 24%
WR 7/30/all —/9/24
draw 65%
Kalshi 72%
active 16d
bet $243
tr/day 0.5
WR 21%
WR 7/30/all —/0/21
draw 54%
Kalshi 71%
active 19d
bet $657
tr/day 3.1
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/77/78
draw 75%
Kalshi 24%
active 16d
bet $471
tr/day 0.9
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/100/97
draw 11%
Kalshi 99%
active 4d
+$240 ·1🔓
ROI -1%
Net -10%
bet $86
tr/day 0.1
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/—/87
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 29d
bet $494
tr/day 0.8
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/100/96
draw 12%
Kalshi 98%
active 4d
+$198 ·1🔓
ROI -2%
Net -12%
6208
0x8551…70e0
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $559
tr/day 0.7
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 17%
Kalshi 98%
active 4d
bet $166
tr/day 0.1
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 74%
active 37d
bet $160
tr/day 6.5
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/24/48
draw 68%
Kalshi 53%
active 18d
bet $191
tr/day 1.5
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/100/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 17d
bet $84
tr/day 0.1
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/—/87
draw 100%
Kalshi 53%
active 29d
bet $247
tr/day 0.5
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/8/20
draw 52%
Kalshi 68%
active 11d
bet $219
tr/day 2.2
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/67/48
draw 78%
Kalshi 46%
active 15d
6215
0xeff8…68eb
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $841
tr/day 0.5
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/44/41
draw 80%
Kalshi 83%
active 10d
bet $2,272
tr/day 2.8
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 38/42/41
draw 41%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
—
+$107K ·7🔓
ROI +1%
Net -17%
bet $51
tr/day 7.5
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/35/46
draw 60%
Kalshi 30%
active 7d
bet $17
tr/day 5.7
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all 31/31/48
draw 67%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $1,740
tr/day 2.5
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/—/66
draw 61%
Kalshi 16%
active 23d
bet $37
tr/day 2.5
WR 32%
WR 7/30/all —/17/32
draw 70%
Kalshi 45%
active 19d
bet $51
tr/day 1.4
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/—/68
draw 94%
Kalshi 11%
active 21d
bet $262
tr/day 0.5
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/18/27
draw 25%
Kalshi 67%
active 12d
bet $103
tr/day 3.4
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 62/61/57
draw 48%
Kalshi 85%
active 0d
bet $317
tr/day 0.8
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/39/42
draw 33%
Kalshi 67%
active 14d
+$15K ·1🔓
ROI -6%
Net -14%
6225
0x09e1…373e
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,328
tr/day 0.5
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/90/92
draw 15%
Kalshi 85%
active 2d
6226
0xba17…de77
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,373
tr/day 0.3
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/91/92
draw 13%
Kalshi 91%
active 8d
+$196 ·2🔓
ROI -1%
Net -14%
bet $83
tr/day 0.1
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/—/87
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 29d
bet $244
tr/day 3.8
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 42%
Kalshi 2%
active 0d
bet $146
tr/day 6.3
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 88/98/98
draw 86%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
bet $83
tr/day 0.1
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/—/88
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 29d
bet $231
tr/day 0.8
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/68/56
draw 66%
Kalshi 95%
active 3d
bet $572
tr/day 5.4
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/93
draw 11%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $400
tr/day 0.2
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/—/95
draw 96%
Kalshi 85%
active 2d
bet $174
tr/day 2.1
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/68/63
draw 25%
Kalshi 45%
active 14d
6235
0x04d5…90f5
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $515
tr/day 0.3
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 4%
Kalshi 92%
active 30d
bet $264
tr/day 1.2
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/81/77
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 10d
bet $213
tr/day 0.9
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/57/62
draw 40%
Kalshi 76%
active 7d
bet $48
tr/day 3.3
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all 83/66/63
draw 95%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $304
tr/day 2.7
WR 26%
WR 7/30/all —/7/26
draw 42%
Kalshi 75%
active 1d
+$16K ·1🔓
ROI -10%
Net -18%
bet $121
tr/day 8.0
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/40
draw 17%
Kalshi 33%
active 39d
bet $295
tr/day 2.0
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all 90/55/37
draw 100%
Kalshi 66%
active 0d
+$836 ·21🔓
ROI -24%
Net -31%
bet $450
tr/day 3.0
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/—/54
draw 84%
Kalshi 79%
active 16d
6243
0x466e…7e5e
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,577
tr/day 0.7
WR 85%
WR 7/30/all —/—/85
draw 6%
Kalshi 91%
active 31d
6244
0xabcc…10b4
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $393
tr/day 11.7
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/56
draw 55%
Kalshi 93%
active 39d
bet $250
tr/day 0.8
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all —/26/38
draw 34%
Kalshi 63%
active 27d
bet $301
tr/day 1.6
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/98
draw 1%
Kalshi 99%
active 2d
bet $1,858
tr/day 2.7
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/70/67
draw 100%
Kalshi 27%
active 3d
bet $285
tr/day 1.7
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all 80/67/64
draw 40%
Kalshi 56%
active 0d
+$825 ·1🔓
ROI -6%
Net -15%
bet $264
tr/day 2.9
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all 71/61/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 0d
bet $202
tr/day 6.3
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/—/30
draw 80%
Kalshi 48%
active 29d
#6201
negative
other
#6202
negative
other
#6203
negative
politics
#6204
negative
other
#6205
negative
crypto
#6206
negative
other
#6207
negative
crypto
#6208
negative
crypto
#6209
negative
other
#6210
negative
sports
#6211
negative
weather
#6212
negative
other
#6213
negative
other
#6214
negative
other
#6215
negative
sports
#6216
—
negative
sports
#6217
negative
other
#6218
trap
crypto
#6219
negative
other
#6220
negative
other
#6221
negative
other
#6222
negative
other
#6223
negative
sports
#6224
negative
sports
#6225
negative
crypto
#6226
negative
crypto
#6227
negative
other
#6228
—
other
#6229
negative
crypto
#6230
negative
tech
#6231
negative
sports
#6232
negative
sports
#6233
negative
crypto
#6234
negative
other
#6235
negative
crypto
#6236
negative
sports
#6237
negative
sports
#6238
negative
crypto
#6239
negative
sports
#6240
negative
other
#6241
negative
sports
#6242
negative
sports
#6243
negative
crypto
#6244
negative
sports
#6245
negative
other
#6246
negative
crypto
#6247
negative
other
#6248
negative
sports
#6249
negative
sports
#6250
negative
other
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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