trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 30 | -11.5% | -20.0% | 37% | 30% | +5.6% |
| ≤30d | 30 | -11.5% | -20.0% | 37% | 30% | +5.6% |
| ≤90d | 30 | -11.5% | -20.0% | 37% | 30% | +5.6% |
| all | 30 | -11.5% | -20.0% | 37% | 30% | +5.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.0% | 30% | +5.6% |
| 10% | -27.6% | 27% | -4.5% |
| 15% | -34.6% | 27% | -13.7% |
| 20% | -41.0% | 20% | -22.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $272 | +$50 | +18% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $82 | +$195 | +237% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $82 | +$6 | +8% |
| France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $27 | +$56 | +206% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $27 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $17 | −$16 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 2 Uruguay? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $23 | −$22 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde? | Jun 15 | $7 | +$16 | +245% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $48 | −$47 | -98% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5 | Jun 15 | $27 | +$21 | +76% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $54 | −$54 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $43 | −$43 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$34 | +345% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $17 | −$7 | -42% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? | Jun 13 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $18 | −$7 | -36% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $25 | −$11 | -46% |
| World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed? | Jun 13 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $22 | +$8 | +36% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $62 | +$98 | +158% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? | Jun 11 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $46 | +$19 | +43% |