trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 8 | +27.4% | +15.2% | 100% | 25% | +72.5% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +13.2% | +2.4% | 89% | 22% | +22.7% |
| all | 13 | +9.5% | -0.9% | 92% | 15% | +19.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.9% | 15% | +19.3% |
| 10% | -10.4% | 15% | +7.9% |
| 15% | -19.0% | 15% | -2.5% |
| 20% | -27.0% | 15% | -12.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | No | 44¢ | 44¢ | $236 | $233 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $167 | +$190 | +114% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 19 | $144 | +$145 | +101% |
| Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | May 18 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | May 18 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | May 18 | $9 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on March 6? | May 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 60% by March 31? | May 18 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | May 18 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 17 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | Feb 03 | $10 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Apple reach $360 in January? | Feb 03 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 11? | Feb 03 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump out as President in 2025? | Feb 03 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | BUY No | 44¢ | $240 | 1h |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 46¢ | $167 | 10d |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | BUY Canadiens | 49¢ | $144 | 29d |
| Hornets vs. Magic | BUY Hornets | 60¢ | $152 | 60d |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 60% by March 31? | BUY No | 99¢ | $12 | 89d |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY No | 98¢ | $9 | 95d |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on March 6? | BUY No | 100¢ | $10 | 103d |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o | BUY No | 100¢ | $13 | 113d |
| Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | BUY No | 100¢ | $8 | 128d |
| Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | BUY No | 100¢ | $8 | 138d |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on | BUY Yes | 95¢ | $10 | 144d |
| Will Apple reach $360 in January? | BUY No | 100¢ | $13 | 153d |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on January 11? | BUY No | 100¢ | $19 | 158d |
| Trump out as President in 2025? | BUY No | 100¢ | $20 | 169d |