trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +10.0% | -0.5% | 78% | 44% | -8.5% |
| ≤30d | 28 | -8.0% | -16.8% | 68% | 36% | -8.5% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 69% | 38% | -3.7% |
| all | 29 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 69% | 38% | -3.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.8% | 38% | -3.7% |
| 10% | -22.9% | 31% | -12.9% |
| 15% | -30.4% | 17% | -21.3% |
| 20% | -37.2% | 14% | -29.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | No | 92¢ | 93¢ | $619 | $623 | +$4 (+1%) |
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | Yes | 86¢ | 89¢ | $172 | $178 | +$6 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $100 | −$42 | -42% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1,301 | +$47 | +4% |
| Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? | Jun 17 | $1,681 | +$38 | +2% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? | Jun 14 | $101 | +$33 | +32% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $26 | +$7 | +26% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $201 | +$65 | +32% |
| SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026? | Jun 14 | $223 | +$2 | +1% |
| SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? | Jun 12 | $109 | −$109 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $1 | +$1 | +134% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 08 | $500 | +$37 | +7% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 07 | $7 | +$4 | +57% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | Jun 07 | $48 | −$42 | -88% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli | Jun 03 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 02 | $578 | +$53 | +9% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo | Jun 01 | $62 | +$38 | +62% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 31 | $1,372 | +$27 | +2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 31 | $2,661 | +$78 | +3% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | May 31 | $2,703 | +$37 | +1% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $160 | +$25 | +16% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $236 | −$31 | -13% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 | May 23 | $152 | −$110 | -73% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $271 | +$28 | +10% |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | May 21 | $201 | +$24 | +12% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $11 | −$9 | -84% |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) | May 19 | $9 | +$2 | +23% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $7 | +$2 | +36% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 12 | $1,371 | +$777 | +57% |