Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:37:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
60 0x60c2…edc2 crypto 298 markets active 1h ago coverage 234d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$117 (+0%) realized +$118 · open −$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%290W / 7L
Whale WR99%big bets
Drawdown1%max
Avg bet$344per market
Trades / day1.5pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$543now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$6
14 days+$12
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% +$112
other 2% +$1
sports 1% $0
politics 1% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 101 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 191 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.4%
all 297 +0.1% -9.4% 98% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 99% (≥$543) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×1.42 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×68.79 per $1 lost it wins $68.79
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

234d coverage
Net worth$543
Realized+$118
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses290 / 7
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)297 / 298
History coverage234d
Avg bet$344
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 297 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 17? No 100¢ 100¢ $543 $543 −$1 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Solana reach $90 on June 16? Jun 17 $293 +$1 +0%
Will Solana reach $95 on June 16? Jun 17 $250 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on June 15? Jun 16 $155 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 15? Jun 16 $160 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 on June 15? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.40 on June 15? Jun 16 $77 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $77 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 14? Jun 15 $200 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 14? Jun 15 $75 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 14? Jun 15 $266 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $0.95 on June 13? Jun 14 $189 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 13? Jun 14 $29 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 13? Jun 14 $67 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 on June 13? Jun 14 $106 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $90 on June 13? Jun 14 $150 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 13? Jun 13 $223 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $90 on June 12? Jun 13 $216 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 12? Jun 12 $323 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 11? Jun 12 $196 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on June 11? Jun 11 $209 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 11? Jun 11 $114 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.25 on June 10? Jun 11 $150 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $0.90 on June 10? Jun 11 $248 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $40 on June 10? Jun 11 $89 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 10? Jun 11 $51 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 10? Jun 10 $398 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.40 on June 9? Jun 10 $127 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $0.95 on June 9? Jun 10 $12 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 9? Jun 09 $397 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 8? Jun 09 $536 +$1 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 8? Jun 08 $535 +$1 +0%
Will Solana dip to $40 on June 6? Jun 07 $236 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $80 on June 6? Jun 07 $235 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 6? Jun 07 $26 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 6? Jun 07 $37 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $0.90 on June 5? Jun 06 $54 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on June 5? Jun 06 $50 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 5? Jun 06 $299 +$1 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.30 on June 5? Jun 06 $80 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $90 on June 5? Jun 06 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 5? Jun 05 $54 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $95 on June 4? Jun 05 $29 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $90 on June 4? Jun 05 $386 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 4? Jun 05 $118 $0 +0%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 on June 3? Jun 04 $34 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $95 on June 3? Jun 04 $100 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 3? Jun 04 $52 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 3? Jun 04 $224 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 17? BUY No 100¢ $543 1h
Will Solana reach $90 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $93 24h
Will Solana reach $90 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $100 24h
Will Solana reach $90 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $100 24h
Will Solana reach $95 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $150 24h
Will Solana reach $95 on June 16? BUY No 100¢ $100 24h
Will XRP reach $1.40 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $77 30h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $77 2d
Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $155 2d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $150 2d
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $160 2d
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $5 2d
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $20 2d
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $50 2d
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $150 2d
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $50 2d
Will Solana reach $85 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $155 2d
Will Solana reach $85 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $111 2d
Will XRP dip to $1.00 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $106 3d
Will XRP dip to $0.95 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $189 3d
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $29 3d
Will Solana reach $85 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $67 3d
Will Solana reach $90 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $150 3d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $54 4d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $169 4d
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $100 4d
Will Solana reach $90 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $149 4d
Will Solana reach $90 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $68 4d
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $323 5d
Will XRP reach $1.35 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $95 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $542.52 · official $542.52 (match) · 647 history records