trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +33.1% | +20.4% | 47% | 47% | +27.6% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +13.0% | +2.2% | 42% | 42% | +4.5% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 43% | 43% | -2.2% |
| all | 41 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 39% | 39% | -10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.6% | 39% | -10.6% |
| 10% | -19.2% | 39% | -19.2% |
| 15% | -27.0% | 39% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -34.1% | 37% | -34.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Austria | 46¢ | 56¢ | $934 | $1,137 | +$203 (+22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $1,073 | +$861 | +80% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $490 | −$206 | -42% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $787 | +$490 | +62% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $446 | −$435 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $577 | +$656 | +114% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $701 | −$124 | -18% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $512 | −$500 | -98% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Jun 16 | $799 | +$415 | +52% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $360 | −$307 | -85% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1,021 | +$1,871 | +183% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $650 | +$1,996 | +307% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $611 | −$600 | -98% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $317 | +$1,090 | +344% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $339 | −$333 | -98% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $950 | −$939 | -99% |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies | May 23 | $467 | −$459 | -98% |
| Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves | May 23 | $470 | −$460 | -98% |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | May 19 | $4,442 | +$2,199 | +50% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $2,543 | −$2,511 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $1,730 | −$1,687 | -98% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners | May 18 | $2,671 | +$3,006 | +113% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics | May 17 | $1,801 | −$1,765 | -98% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels | May 17 | $601 | −$587 | -98% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox | May 17 | $679 | −$668 | -98% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics | May 17 | $308 | −$300 | -97% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels | May 17 | $1,067 | +$762 | +72% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | May 16 | $593 | +$499 | +84% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | May 16 | $339 | +$227 | +67% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 09 | $4,040 | −$2,067 | -51% |
| Hunter Henry: Receiving Yards O/U 37.5 | Feb 08 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Mike McDaniel be the next Las Vegas Raiders Head Coach? | Jan 26 | $25 | −$24 | -96% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Jan 25 | $632 | −$632 | -100% |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Jan 25 | $1,518 | +$1,087 | +72% |
| Ravens vs. Steelers | Jan 05 | $300 | +$608 | +203% |
| Lions vs. Bears | Jan 05 | $1,257 | +$1,546 | +123% |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders | Jan 05 | $1,000 | +$1,700 | +170% |
| Commanders vs. Eagles | Jan 04 | $3,107 | −$50 | -2% |
| Will the 2025 MLB World Series have between 11 million and 13 million | Oct 25 | $63 | −$63 | -100% |
| Will the 2025 MLB World Series have more than 15 million viewers | Oct 25 | $70 | −$7 | -10% |
| Notre Dame vs. Miami | Sep 01 | $2,116 | −$2,116 | -100% |
| Was Milei hacked? | Feb 15 | $2,869 | −$2,594 | -90% |