trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -8.0% | -16.7% | 77% | 46% | +0.5% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 79% | 50% | +0.7% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 79% | 50% | +0.7% |
| all | 14 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 79% | 50% | +0.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.7% | 50% | +0.7% |
| 10% | -20.1% | 29% | -8.9% |
| 15% | -27.8% | 21% | -17.7% |
| 20% | -34.9% | 7% | -25.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $250 | $248 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 77¢ | 78¢ | $150 | $154 | +$4 (+3%) |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 71¢ | 70¢ | $80 | $79 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 74¢ | 86¢ | $50 | $59 | +$9 (+18%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 76¢ | 76¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 70¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | No | 77¢ | 72¢ | $50 | $47 | −$3 (-6%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 61¢ | 69¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+14%) |
| Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $50 | +$3 | +7% |
| Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $301 | +$19 | +6% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $50 | +$22 | +44% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $50 | +$11 | +21% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $50 | +$24 | +48% |
| Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl | Jun 16 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 15 | $100 | +$8 | +8% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $50 | +$14 | +27% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo | Jun 14 | $365 | −$32 | -9% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta | Jun 14 | $908 | +$147 | +16% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 14 | $97 | +$10 | +11% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 14 | $300 | +$25 | +8% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 03 | $9 | +$6 | +70% |