trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +97.3% | +78.6% | 100% | 100% | +69.9% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +97.3% | +78.6% | 100% | 100% | +69.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +97.3% | +78.6% | 100% | 100% | +69.9% |
| all | 20 | +11.6% | +1.0% | 60% | 55% | +31.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +1.0% | 55% | +31.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -8.7% | 45% | +19.3% |
| 15% | -17.5% | 45% | +7.8% |
| 20% | -25.6% | 40% | -2.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $6,865 | +$3,135 | +46% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $4,059 | +$3,784 | +93% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $13,620 | +$16,184 | +119% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5 | Jun 17 | $635 | +$396 | +62% |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $2,416 | +$3,766 | +156% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $14,145 | +$8,688 | +61% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $1,436 | +$2,482 | +173% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $15,233 | +$13,646 | +90% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $6,771 | +$5,163 | +76% |
| Will the next pop be elected in 7 or more days? | May 11 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? | May 11 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will the next Pope require 20 or more ballots? | May 11 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| New Pope announced by May 9? | May 11 | $8,693 | −$8,693 | -100% |
| Will PAP win less than 75 seats in the Singapore election? | May 04 | $1,121 | +$53 | +5% |
| Will PAP win between 84 and 86 seats in the Singapore election? | May 04 | $4,838 | −$4,836 | -100% |
| Will PAP win between 87 and 89 seats in the Singapore election? | May 04 | $6,658 | −$1,990 | -30% |
| Will PAP win between 81 and 83 seats in the Singapore election? | May 04 | $2,208 | +$328 | +15% |
| Will PAP win between 78 and 80 seats in the Singapore election? | May 04 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will PAP win between 75 and 77 seats in the Singapore election? | May 04 | $188 | −$88 | -47% |
| Will PAP win 90 or more seats in the Singapore election? | May 04 | $2,393 | +$332 | +14% |