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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $24
tr/day 0.9
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 38%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
bet $312
tr/day 0.3
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 40%
Kalshi 91%
active 13d
bet $193
tr/day 0.1
WR 22%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 45%
active 1d
bet $265
tr/day 1.0
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 76%
Kalshi 82%
active 2d
bet $145
tr/day 6.1
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all 80/40/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 65%
active 0d
+$372 ·4🔓
ROI +39%
Net +21%
bet $142
tr/day 5.1
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 15%
Kalshi 36%
active 32d
bet $139
tr/day 0.2
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 59%
Kalshi 12%
active 25d
—
+$1K ·4🔓
ROI +40%
Net +26%
708
0x5ca7…b14b
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $889
tr/day 0.2
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 1%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $115
tr/day 1.4
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 12%
active 3d
bet $118
tr/day 0.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 23d
bet $92
tr/day 0.2
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 48%
Kalshi 75%
active 23d
bet $30
tr/day 3.9
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 20%
Kalshi 46%
active 0d
—
+$411 ·2🔓
ROI +46%
Net +27%
bet $23
tr/day 2.0
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 38%
Kalshi 54%
active 1d
—
+$315 ·3🔓
ROI +24%
Net +12%
bet $210
tr/day 0.1
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 9d
715
0xd7f2…d2e0
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $1,906
tr/day 0.8
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all 100/86/86
draw 0%
Kalshi 54%
active 0d
+$498 ·6🔓
ROI +2%
Net -16%
bet $126
tr/day 6.2
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 29%
active 0d
bet $225
tr/day 0.1
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 7d
bet $105
tr/day 0.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 67%
active 32d
bet $192
tr/day 0.1
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 71%
active 12d
bet $180
tr/day 0.1
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 2%
Kalshi 75%
active 9d
bet $94
tr/day 1.5
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 37%
Kalshi 33%
active 1d
—
+$724 ·3🔓
ROI +40%
Net +26%
bet $284
tr/day 0.3
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 0d
—
+$657 ·1🔓
ROI +36%
Net +23%
bet $12
tr/day 0.1
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 86%
Kalshi 40%
active 0d
bet $256
tr/day 0.3
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 59%
Kalshi 45%
active 5d
bet $186
tr/day 0.1
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 4%
Kalshi 71%
active 12d
bet $38
tr/day 1.2
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 8%
Kalshi 79%
active 1d
bet $168
tr/day 0.1
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 2%
Kalshi 88%
active 12d
bet $191
tr/day 0.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 86%
active 5d
bet $26
tr/day 0.1
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 27%
Kalshi 74%
active 11d
bet $213
tr/day 1.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 67%
active 29d
bet $41
tr/day 3.1
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 16%
Kalshi 50%
active 12d
bet $191
tr/day 0.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 5%
Kalshi 57%
active 10d
bet $121
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 44%
active 33d
bet $156
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 56%
active 33d
bet $8
tr/day 5.2
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 17%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
bet $49
tr/day 3.0
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all 55/48/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
bet $27
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 90%
active 29d
bet $27
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 91%
active 26d
bet $47
tr/day 0.4
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 0%
active 11d
bet $22
tr/day 0.6
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/56/48
draw 13%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
+$623 ·2🔓
ROI +35%
Net +22%
bet $89
tr/day 4.7
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 29%
Kalshi 77%
active 0d
—
+$1K ·1🔓
ROI +24%
Net +8%
bet $164
tr/day 0.1
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 56%
active 33d
bet $103
tr/day 0.1
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 56%
active 33d
bet $147
tr/day 0.1
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 60%
active 33d
bet $142
tr/day 1.2
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 20%
Kalshi 100%
active 13d
bet $122
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 67%
active 33d
bet $100
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 70%
active 33d
bet $107
tr/day 4.5
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 11%
Kalshi 61%
active 0d
bet $166
tr/day 4.5
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
—
−$2K ·3🔓
ROI +28%
Net +12%
bet $189
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 5%
Kalshi 71%
active 11d
#701
—
sports
#702
world
#703
—
other
#704
world
#705
borderline
sports
#706
other
#707
—
borderline
other
#708
politics
#709
—
borderline
other
#710
sports
#711
sports
#712
—
borderline
other
#713
—
copyable
sports
#714
tech
#715
thin data
other
#716
—
other
#717
tech
#718
finance
#719
tech
#720
tech
#721
—
borderline
other
#722
—
borderline
sports
#723
—
borderline
other
#724
other
#725
tech
#726
—
sports
#727
tech
#728
tech
#729
—
borderline
sports
#730
world
#731
—
copyable
other
#732
other
#733
other
#734
other
#735
—
crypto
#736
—
borderline
crypto
#737
weather
#738
weather
#739
other
#740
borderline
crypto
#741
—
copyable
sports
#742
other
#743
other
#744
other
#745
—
borderline
sports
#746
other
#747
other
#748
—
sports
#749
—
borderline
sports
#750
tech
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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