trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +60.2% | +44.9% | 69% | 69% | +21.1% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +60.2% | +44.9% | 69% | 69% | +21.1% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +60.2% | +44.9% | 69% | 69% | +21.1% |
| all | 14 | +56.3% | +41.4% | 71% | 64% | +19.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +41.4% | 64% | +19.4% |
| 10% | +27.9% | 50% | +8.0% |
| 15% | +15.5% | 43% | -2.4% |
| 20% | +4.2% | 43% | -12.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $25 | $23 | −$2 (-6%) |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 50¢ | 50¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $10 | +$12 | +114% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: Neither team to score first? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria? | Jun 18 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$13 | +129% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 17 | $4 | +$10 | +216% |
| England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $2 | +$2 | +93% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$4 | +21% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $20 | +$3 | +13% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$5 | +24% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$21 | +414% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $11 | +$17 | +158% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Mar 17 | $10 | +$1 | +5% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | BUY Yes | 8¢ | $26 | 1h |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | BUY Yes | 50¢ | $10 | 3h |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY Yes | 31¢ | $4 | 12h |
| England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | SELL Over | 100¢ | $4 | 12h |
| England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY Over | 51¢ | $2 | 12h |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY Yes | 64¢ | $20 | 15h |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY Under | 78¢ | $10 | 15h |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | BUY Yes | 43¢ | $10 | 29h |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | BUY Colombia | 46¢ | $10 | 29h |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY Under | 88¢ | $20 | 31h |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria? | BUY Yes | 9¢ | $3 | 31h |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY Yes | 82¢ | $20 | 31h |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | BUY Yes | 80¢ | $20 | 35h |
| Iraq vs. Norway: Neither team to score first? | BUY Yes | 5¢ | $5 | 35h |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 19¢ | $5 | 3d |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY Yes | 38¢ | $11 | 6d |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY No | 95¢ | $10 | 169d |