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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $120
tr/day 0.7
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/—/39
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 10d
bet $286
tr/day 0.5
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/56/66
draw 51%
Kalshi 68%
active 14d
+$362 ·8🔓
ROI -12%
Net -21%
8103
0x61dc…3d86
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $63
tr/day 8.1
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all 100/95/96
draw 10%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$193 ·6🔓
ROI +1%
Net -15%
bet $252
tr/day 1.1
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/61/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 44%
active 10d
bet $152
tr/day 1.9
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 73/67/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $47
tr/day 1.8
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/46/46
draw 84%
Kalshi 92%
active 19d
bet $190
tr/day 6.9
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 82/57/57
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
bet $169
tr/day 0.8
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/13/39
draw 41%
Kalshi 43%
active 7d
bet $200
tr/day 5.3
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/56/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 10d
8110
0x9f19…6e9f
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $532
tr/day 1.9
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/—/77
draw 16%
Kalshi 63%
active 2d
8111
0x7004…a778
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $279
tr/day 29.1
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 66/56/58
draw 27%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $143
tr/day 0.2
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 15d
−$542 ·2🔓
ROI -40%
Net -46%
bet $151
tr/day 1.5
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/50/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 10d
bet $223
tr/day 0.4
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 57%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
8115
0x8a19…073d
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $211
tr/day 25.3
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all 85/88/86
draw 18%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
bet $145
tr/day 0.3
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/50/47
draw 72%
Kalshi 23%
active 12d
bet $113
tr/day 1.7
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/57/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 0d
bet $266
tr/day 3.4
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/50/51
draw 31%
Kalshi 52%
active 7d
8119
0x5c61…5010
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche other
bet $22
tr/day 13.4
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/55/54
draw 57%
Kalshi 66%
active 4d
bet $149
tr/day 0.7
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/95
draw 11%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
8121
0xab52…343f
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $812
tr/day 23.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
+$575 ·1🔓
ROI +0%
Net -26%
bet $26
tr/day 7.5
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/41/41
draw 52%
Kalshi 35%
active 9d
8123
0x7cc2…56a9
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $18
tr/day 12.5
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all 65/72/74
draw 23%
Kalshi 61%
active 0d
+$236 ·2🔓
ROI +13%
Net -6%
bet $967
tr/day 4.0
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/36/52
draw 79%
Kalshi 79%
active 19d
bet $12
tr/day 0.8
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/52/53
draw 22%
Kalshi 33%
active 7d
bet $204
tr/day 4.6
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/62/51
draw 34%
Kalshi 87%
active 16d
bet $390
tr/day 0.1
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all —/—/31
draw 24%
Kalshi 94%
active 24d
bet $114
tr/day 5.3
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/63/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 16d
bet $47
tr/day 2.8
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/58/44
draw 90%
Kalshi 39%
active 10d
bet $167
tr/day 4.5
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/37/40
draw 94%
Kalshi 48%
active 10d
8131
0xbba2…24fe
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $5,045
tr/day 1.8
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all 64/64/67
draw 36%
Kalshi 60%
active 0d
+$26K ·1🔓
ROI +1%
Net -18%
8132
0xc3f7…d06c
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $2,838
tr/day 0.9
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all 86/74/84
draw 22%
Kalshi 88%
active 1d
bet $162
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 82%
active 13d
bet $236
tr/day 2.7
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/22/15
draw 31%
Kalshi 58%
active 21d
bet $232
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 71%
active 13d
bet $107
tr/day 0.6
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/71/61
draw 27%
Kalshi 73%
active 11d
8137
0x1a17…38b0
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche other
bet $80
tr/day 19.3
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 99/99/98
draw 3%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
+$7K ·17🔓
ROI +52%
Net +27%
bet $125
tr/day 1.7
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/98/91
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
bet $60
tr/day 2.3
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all 42/46/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 59%
active 0d
bet $741
tr/day 3.3
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/86/75
draw 43%
Kalshi 85%
active 24d
bet $301
tr/day 0.4
WR 24%
WR 7/30/all —/12/24
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 0d
bet $400
tr/day 1.7
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/73/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
+$869 ·3🔓
ROI -6%
Net -15%
8143
0xa42b…ead5
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $508
tr/day 0.2
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/47/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 20%
active 15d
8144
0x4cff…7cdb
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $687
tr/day 1.5
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/55/57
draw 100%
Kalshi 43%
active 10d
8145
0x6188…8a17
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,706
tr/day 0.3
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/57/71
draw 78%
Kalshi 85%
active 22d
bet $346
tr/day 1.4
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/40/39
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 0d
−$1K ·1🔓
ROI -22%
Net -30%
bet $206
tr/day 5.0
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/74/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 11d
bet $15
tr/day 4.8
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 45/52/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
+$244 ·10🔓
ROI +14%
Net -1%
bet $353
tr/day 0.3
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 24d
bet $18
tr/day 3.2
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/12/62
draw 12%
Kalshi 96%
active 3d
#8101
negative
sports
#8102
negative
other
#8103
negative
weather
#8104
negative
other
#8105
negative
sports
#8106
negative
sports
#8107
negative
sports
#8108
negative
other
#8109
negative
sports
#8110
negative
other
#8111
negative
sports
#8112
thin data
sports
#8113
negative
sports
#8114
—
negative
sports
#8115
negative
weather
#8116
negative
other
#8117
negative
sports
#8118
negative
sports
#8119
negative
other
#8120
negative
crypto
#8121
negative
weather
#8122
trap
other
#8123
trap
sports
#8124
negative
sports
#8125
negative
other
#8126
negative
sports
#8127
negative
sports
#8128
negative
sports
#8129
negative
other
#8130
negative
other
#8131
negative
sports
#8132
negative
crypto
#8133
negative
world
#8134
negative
other
#8135
negative
other
#8136
negative
sports
#8137
fragile wins
other
#8138
negative
sports
#8139
negative
sports
#8140
negative
sports
#8141
negative
world
#8142
negative
sports
#8143
negative
other
#8144
negative
other
#8145
negative
crypto
#8146
negative
sports
#8147
negative
sports
#8148
trap
sports
#8149
world
#8150
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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