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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $196
tr/day 1.2
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/38/42
draw 72%
Kalshi 58%
active 3d
+$6K ·1🔓
ROI -21%
Net -29%
bet $97
tr/day 1.8
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/59/62
draw 45%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
+$212 ·1🔓
ROI -1%
Net -10%
bet $263
tr/day 2.5
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/50/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 0d
−$249 ·2🔓
ROI +10%
Net -1%
bet $213
tr/day 1.8
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all —/0/11
draw 72%
Kalshi 63%
active 17d
bet $600
tr/day 3.3
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/58/61
draw 41%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
10256
0x64a3…b5ee
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $618
tr/day 0.8
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/62/59
draw 17%
Kalshi 83%
active 14d
bet $208
tr/day 1.0
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/29/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 55%
active 14d
bet $129
tr/day 0.1
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/67/57
draw 44%
Kalshi 71%
active 20d
bet $181
tr/day 1.7
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/67/69
draw 22%
Kalshi 93%
active 1d
bet $283
tr/day 0.2
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 19d
bet $5
tr/day 2.8
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/37/44
draw 42%
Kalshi 66%
active 3d
bet $870
tr/day 2.0
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/55/50
draw 82%
Kalshi 64%
active 2d
bet $19
tr/day 2.8
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all 61/45/59
draw 88%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
bet $73
tr/day 0.2
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/45
draw 97%
Kalshi 34%
active 19d
bet $114
tr/day 0.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/22/50
draw 82%
Kalshi 79%
active 14d
bet $181
tr/day 1.4
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/27/40
draw 98%
Kalshi 65%
active 14d
10267
0x4315…1c64
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $1,256
tr/day 0.2
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/—/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 23%
active 19d
bet $115
tr/day 0.9
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/60/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 6d
−$138 ·4🔓
ROI -12%
Net -21%
bet $311
tr/day 2.3
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/40/44
draw 26%
Kalshi 20%
active 10d
10270
0xdef2…0a80
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $1,156
tr/day 0.8
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/43/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 21d
bet $249
tr/day 1.3
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all 67/52/59
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 3d
bet $109
tr/day 0.0
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 25%
active 18d
bet $121
tr/day 3.2
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/25/69
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 14d
bet $364
tr/day 5.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
10275
0x2286…c31f
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $1,366
tr/day 0.8
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/60/69
draw 28%
Kalshi 80%
active 10d
bet $270
tr/day 4.1
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/37/42
draw 38%
Kalshi 35%
active 14d
10277
0x3f4a…a5a5
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $357
tr/day 37.4
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/97
draw 2%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $177
tr/day 5.3
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/33/53
draw 95%
Kalshi 79%
active 7d
bet $7
tr/day 4.4
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/65/78
draw 63%
Kalshi 96%
active 1d
bet $122
tr/day 3.5
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all 36/40/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 0d
10281
0x913d…498b
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $2,181
tr/day 0.5
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/62/71
draw 44%
Kalshi 38%
active 18d
bet $114
tr/day 0.2
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 64%
active 18d
bet $56
tr/day 1.1
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/58/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 34%
active 8d
bet $37
tr/day 0.7
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/69/63
draw 21%
Kalshi 42%
active 10d
10285
0x898d…f7e1
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $2,848
tr/day 0.9
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/67/76
draw 31%
Kalshi 60%
active 0d
bet $180
tr/day 1.0
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/89/82
draw 35%
Kalshi 57%
active 6d
10287
0x17b2…6436
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $42
tr/day 21.4
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all —/85/83
draw 13%
Kalshi 100%
active 10d
bet $258
tr/day 0.5
WR 23%
WR 7/30/all —/0/23
draw 30%
Kalshi 68%
active 20d
10289
0x4259…ff5d
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $26
tr/day 12.8
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/51/55
draw 66%
Kalshi 95%
active 20d
bet $143
tr/day 3.5
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/29/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 56%
active 14d
10291
0xb15a…a83f
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,255
tr/day 1.9
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/80/69
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 10d
bet $27
tr/day 3.3
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/44/43
draw 55%
Kalshi 68%
active 2d
+$825 ·6🔓
ROI +3%
Net -10%
bet $10
tr/day 0.9
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/60/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 18d
bet $142
tr/day 1.8
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/53/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 22%
active 14d
bet $126
tr/day 0.1
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all —/45/38
draw 100%
Kalshi 54%
active 13d
bet $138
tr/day 0.2
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/—/36
draw 66%
Kalshi 86%
active 10d
bet $26
tr/day 0.3
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/45/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 61%
active 16d
bet $1,266
tr/day 2.6
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/0/20
draw 51%
Kalshi 69%
active 19d
bet $176
tr/day 0.7
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/54/43
draw 51%
Kalshi 71%
active 3d
+$951 ·4🔓
ROI -7%
Net -16%
bet $167
tr/day 0.4
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all —/—/35
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 14d
#10251
negative
sports
#10252
negative
sports
#10253
negative
world
#10254
negative
other
#10255
negative
sports
#10256
negative
sports
#10257
negative
sports
#10258
negative
crypto
#10259
negative
world
#10260
negative
sports
#10261
negative
sports
#10262
negative
other
#10263
negative
crypto
#10264
negative
other
#10265
negative
sports
#10266
negative
sports
#10267
negative
other
#10268
negative
world
#10269
negative
other
#10270
negative
sports
#10271
negative
sports
#10272
other
#10273
negative
crypto
#10274
—
sports
#10275
trap
politics
#10276
negative
other
#10277
negative
weather
#10278
negative
sports
#10279
negative
crypto
#10280
negative
other
#10281
negative
other
#10282
negative
other
#10283
negative
other
#10284
negative
other
#10285
negative
sports
#10286
negative
sports
#10287
negative
crypto
#10288
negative
other
#10289
negative
crypto
#10290
negative
sports
#10291
negative
crypto
#10292
negative
sports
#10293
negative
weather
#10294
negative
other
#10295
negative
other
#10296
negative
crypto
#10297
negative
sports
#10298
negative
politics
#10299
negative
other
#10300
negative
other
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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