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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $60
tr/day 0.4
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/57
draw 60%
Kalshi 21%
active 19d
bet $74
tr/day 0.1
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/82/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 5d
bet $283
tr/day 0.7
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 98%
active 4d
bet $298
tr/day 0.6
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
10205
0x2a11…ef8e
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche other
bet $292
tr/day 8.6
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all 59/65/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 49%
active 0d
bet $125
tr/day 1.0
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all 58/52/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 65%
active 0d
bet $158
tr/day 0.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 76%
active 19d
bet $297
tr/day 1.0
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/35/71
draw 59%
Kalshi 54%
active 15d
bet $125
tr/day 0.5
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 40%
active 19d
bet $26
tr/day 1.9
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all 68/65/66
draw 82%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
+$148 ·14🔓
ROI +12%
Net +1%
bet $22
tr/day 4.0
WR 13%
WR 7/30/all —/13/13
draw 0%
Kalshi 33%
active 0d
bet $22
tr/day 4.4
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all 50/54/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
bet $53
tr/day 1.2
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all 80/67/67
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $313
tr/day 0.3
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/64/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 36%
active 18d
bet $294
tr/day 1.8
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/57/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 12d
−$8K ·4🔓
ROI -13%
Net -21%
bet $132
tr/day 1.9
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/0/15
draw 27%
Kalshi 65%
active 17d
bet $497
tr/day 0.2
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/—/91
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 19d
bet $24
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 73%
active 19d
bet $204
tr/day 0.3
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/64/76
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $139
tr/day 3.5
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all 50/69/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 56%
active 0d
bet $121
tr/day 0.5
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/82
draw 84%
Kalshi 88%
active 1d
bet $160
tr/day 2.1
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all —/0/11
draw 55%
Kalshi 65%
active 17d
bet $375
tr/day 3.1
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/—/66
draw 22%
Kalshi 71%
active 19d
bet $113
tr/day 0.4
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/75
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 1d
bet $107
tr/day 0.5
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/70
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
bet $526
tr/day 5.8
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all 83/44/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 2d
bet $102
tr/day 0.4
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 19d
bet $11
tr/day 6.8
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 53/42/58
draw 41%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $242
tr/day 0.5
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/0/20
draw 64%
Kalshi 54%
active 19d
bet $266
tr/day 2.8
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/0/15
draw 100%
Kalshi 56%
active 19d
10231
0xc452…7234
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $2,327
tr/day 0.9
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 55/53/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
+$20K ·5🔓
ROI -9%
Net -25%
bet $14
tr/day 5.2
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all 43/46/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 0d
bet $367
tr/day 0.0
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 60%
active 14d
bet $183
tr/day 0.1
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/—/82
draw 6%
Kalshi 76%
active 9d
bet $183
tr/day 0.1
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/—/88
draw 0%
Kalshi 76%
active 9d
bet $175
tr/day 0.1
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/—/89
draw 0%
Kalshi 78%
active 9d
bet $175
tr/day 0.1
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/—/89
draw 0%
Kalshi 78%
active 9d
10238
0x4b40…2f6a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $2,704
tr/day 1.6
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 70/55/49
draw 64%
Kalshi 73%
active 0d
+$30K ·8🔓
ROI -0%
Net -18%
bet $52
tr/day 0.5
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/67/50
draw 44%
Kalshi 67%
active 14d
bet $117
tr/day 0.3
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/62
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 14d
bet $113
tr/day 2.7
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 100/95/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 99%
active 1d
bet $138
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 33%
active 14d
−$591 ·1🔓
ROI -5%
Net -14%
bet $130
tr/day 6.3
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/54/56
draw 97%
Kalshi 57%
active 10d
bet $103
tr/day 0.5
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 8d
bet $355
tr/day 2.0
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 53/53/53
draw 73%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
bet $34
tr/day 1.6
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/75/77
draw 40%
Kalshi 62%
active 19d
bet $275
tr/day 0.2
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 19d
bet $77
tr/day 0.2
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 61%
active 19d
10249
0x0202…e262
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $557
tr/day 0.7
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/60/51
draw 44%
Kalshi 64%
active 1d
bet $163
tr/day 6.3
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all 38/34/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
+$866 ·26🔓
ROI -1%
Net -14%
#10201
negative
other
#10202
negative
sports
#10203
negative
crypto
#10204
negative
crypto
#10205
negative
other
#10206
negative
sports
#10207
negative
other
#10208
negative
other
#10209
negative
other
#10210
trap
weather
#10211
negative
other
#10212
negative
sports
#10213
negative
sports
#10214
negative
other
#10215
negative
sports
#10216
negative
other
#10217
negative
crypto
#10218
negative
crypto
#10219
negative
sports
#10220
negative
other
#10221
negative
sports
#10222
negative
politics
#10223
negative
sports
#10224
negative
sports
#10225
negative
sports
#10226
negative
sports
#10227
sports
#10228
negative
weather
#10229
negative
other
#10230
negative
other
#10231
negative
sports
#10232
negative
sports
#10233
other
#10234
negative
crypto
#10235
negative
crypto
#10236
negative
crypto
#10237
negative
crypto
#10238
negative
sports
#10239
negative
sports
#10240
negative
crypto
#10241
negative
crypto
#10242
negative
other
#10243
negative
sports
#10244
other
#10245
negative
sports
#10246
negative
sports
#10247
negative
crypto
#10248
negative
sports
#10249
negative
sports
#10250
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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