trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | +31.1% | +18.7% | 58% | 53% | -0.6% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +31.1% | +18.7% | 58% | 53% | -0.6% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +18.7% | +7.4% | 52% | 48% | -1.2% |
| all | 27 | +2.1% | -7.7% | 44% | 41% | -4.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.7% | 41% | -4.3% |
| 10% | -16.5% | 41% | -13.5% |
| 15% | -24.6% | 37% | -21.9% |
| 20% | -32.0% | 26% | -29.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 58¢ | 80¢ | $98 | $134 | +$35 (+36%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 65¢ | 64¢ | $55 | $54 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $30 | +$19 | +62% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 19 | $46 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $5 | +$5 | +105% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $78 | +$44 | +57% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $39 | −$28 | -72% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $20 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $28 | +$11 | +40% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $24 | +$35 | +144% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$7 | +70% |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Jun 17 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick? | Jun 17 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18? | Jun 17 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $71 | +$32 | +46% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$7 | +24% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $70 | +$32 | +46% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$9 | +376% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | Mar 01 | $3 | −$1 | -36% |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01? | Mar 01 | $2 | +$2 | +96% |
| Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-01? | Mar 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | Mar 01 | $15 | −$7 | -46% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Mar 01 | $6 | −$5 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | Mar 01 | $9 | −$9 | -99% |