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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $15
tr/day 3.1
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all 71/65/65
draw 51%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
+$295 ·2🔓
ROI +2%
Net -11%
bet $42
tr/day 0.1
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/—/89
draw 11%
Kalshi 69%
active 26d
bet $340
tr/day 1.0
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/100/96
draw 6%
Kalshi 74%
active 25d
bet $204
tr/day 2.7
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/47/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
bet $138
tr/day 1.5
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/75/73
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 20d
bet $32
tr/day 0.1
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/100/91
draw 48%
Kalshi 64%
active 26d
bet $1,241
tr/day 3.1
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 45/52/51
draw 72%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
+$4K ·2🔓
ROI -10%
Net -25%
bet $160
tr/day 0.5
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/62/51
draw 49%
Kalshi 83%
active 5d
+$2K ·13🔓
ROI -7%
Net -16%
bet $218
tr/day 2.3
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 100%
Kalshi 30%
active 26d
8710
0xd71a…b9f6
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $618
tr/day 0.2
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/45
draw 18%
Kalshi 86%
active 5d
bet $201
tr/day 0.6
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all 58/56/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $25
tr/day 6.3
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all 45/44/54
draw 97%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
+$272 ·3🔓
ROI +3%
Net -11%
bet $169
tr/day 0.4
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/62/47
draw 8%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
+$6K ·3🔓
ROI +98%
Net +79%
bet $253
tr/day 3.0
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all 55/68/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
−$314 ·1🔓
ROI -0%
Net -13%
bet $277
tr/day 4.5
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all 82/80/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 1d
bet $336
tr/day 0.5
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/73/69
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
−$226 ·25🔓
ROI -12%
Net -20%
bet $6
tr/day 7.7
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/66/66
draw 82%
Kalshi 100%
active 24d
bet $132
tr/day 0.5
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 26d
bet $227
tr/day 3.4
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/78/58
draw 13%
Kalshi 83%
active 12d
+$2K ·1🔓
ROI -12%
Net -24%
bet $417
tr/day 2.7
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/82/82
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 10d
bet $173
tr/day 1.8
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/14/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 4d
bet $552
tr/day 3.1
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all 56/40/46
draw 44%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
+$14K ·3🔓
ROI -2%
Net -18%
bet $137
tr/day 0.7
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/39/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
8724
0x963e…61cc
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $557
tr/day 0.2
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/—/76
draw 53%
Kalshi 62%
active 22d
bet $402
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/50/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 15d
bet $20
tr/day 2.4
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/56/54
draw 99%
Kalshi 21%
active 6d
bet $34
tr/day 4.7
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/54/49
draw 74%
Kalshi 88%
active 4d
bet $216
tr/day 0.1
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/57/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 34%
active 26d
+$303 ·3🔓
ROI -5%
Net -14%
bet $347
tr/day 2.2
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/64/58
draw 91%
Kalshi 98%
active 14d
bet $435
tr/day 2.9
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 47/48/50
draw 59%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $154
tr/day 1.0
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/51/59
draw 50%
Kalshi 93%
active 18d
bet $586
tr/day 3.5
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/63/67
draw 98%
Kalshi 81%
active 16d
bet $202
tr/day 0.4
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/79/78
draw 100%
Kalshi 22%
active 2d
8734
0x149f…d306
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $157
tr/day 13.5
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all 45/71/81
draw 18%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
8735
0xaa2b…5b75
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $919
tr/day 1.7
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/—/89
draw 100%
Kalshi 76%
active 1d
bet $31
tr/day 1.1
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/57/59
draw 100%
Kalshi 53%
active 0d
bet $107
tr/day 2.9
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/62/73
draw 95%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $43
tr/day 1.5
WR 26%
WR 7/30/all —/38/26
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
bet $498
tr/day 0.8
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 26d
bet $11
tr/day 0.5
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 80/45/49
draw 66%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
+$45 ·4🔓
ROI -10%
Net -18%
bet $115
tr/day 1.3
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/75/62
draw 53%
Kalshi 42%
active 26d
bet $28
tr/day 2.9
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/33/63
draw 91%
Kalshi 93%
active 11d
bet $502
tr/day 3.0
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/83/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 63%
active 20d
bet $166
tr/day 4.1
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 45/59/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $111
tr/day 2.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/57/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 25d
bet $90
tr/day 3.8
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 40/50/52
draw 56%
Kalshi 68%
active 4d
bet $837
tr/day 2.9
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 50/51/49
draw 67%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
+$10K ·1🔓
ROI -6%
Net -18%
8748
0xce82…b52e
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $2,344
tr/day 0.7
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/56/36
draw 62%
Kalshi 74%
active 15d
+$17K ·2🔓
ROI +4%
Net -15%
bet $344
tr/day 0.0
WR 21%
WR 7/30/all —/0/21
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 26d
8750
0xc524…d113
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $127
tr/day 8.3
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/75/73
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 7d
#8701
negative
crypto
#8702
negative
other
#8703
negative
crypto
#8704
negative
sports
#8705
negative
sports
#8706
negative
other
#8707
negative
sports
#8708
negative
world
#8709
trap
other
#8710
negative
crypto
#8711
negative
sports
#8712
negative
sports
#8713
edge dead
world
#8714
negative
sports
#8715
negative
sports
#8716
negative
world
#8717
negative
crypto
#8718
economics
#8719
negative
weather
#8720
negative
sports
#8721
negative
sports
#8722
negative
sports
#8723
negative
sports
#8724
negative
sports
#8725
negative
sports
#8726
negative
other
#8727
negative
sports
#8728
negative
other
#8729
negative
sports
#8730
negative
sports
#8731
negative
sports
#8732
negative
sports
#8733
negative
other
#8734
negative
sports
#8735
negative
politics
#8736
negative
crypto
#8737
negative
weather
#8738
negative
world
#8739
sports
#8740
negative
sports
#8741
negative
other
#8742
negative
crypto
#8743
negative
sports
#8744
negative
sports
#8745
negative
sports
#8746
negative
sports
#8747
negative
sports
#8748
negative
other
#8749
negative
politics
#8750
negative
weather
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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