trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +42.6% | +29.0% | 50% | 50% | +29.1% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 50% | 50% | +1.0% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 50% | 50% | +1.0% |
| all | 12 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 50% | 50% | +1.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.0% | 50% | +1.0% |
| 10% | -15.0% | 50% | -8.7% |
| 15% | -23.2% | 50% | -17.5% |
| 20% | -30.8% | 33% | -25.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 64¢ | 63¢ | $192 | $190 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 59¢ | 60¢ | $100 | $101 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $100 | $80 | −$20 (-20%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $101 | −$8 | -8% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $101 | +$94 | +93% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $101 | −$60 | -59% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on | Jun 12 | $102 | +$64 | +63% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $102 | −$5 | -5% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $101 | +$43 | +42% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca | Jun 02 | $101 | +$42 | +41% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo | Jun 01 | $101 | +$55 | +54% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev | Jun 01 | $102 | +$126 | +124% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 29 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? | May 29 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |