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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $402
tr/day 0.9
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/80/65
draw 89%
Kalshi 60%
active 25d
bet $173
tr/day 7.1
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/31/53
draw 87%
Kalshi 100%
active 15d
bet $23
tr/day 0.1
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/80
draw 42%
Kalshi 60%
active 19d
bet $407
tr/day 4.0
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all 83/69/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
−$3K ·1🔓
ROI -10%
Net -22%
bet $406
tr/day 0.5
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/86/67
draw 7%
Kalshi 100%
active 25d
bet $32
tr/day 1.1
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/51/59
draw 100%
Kalshi 37%
active 2d
bet $81
tr/day 1.7
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/77/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 1d
bet $276
tr/day 0.5
WR 24%
WR 7/30/all —/0/24
draw 53%
Kalshi 64%
active 8d
bet $255
tr/day 0.6
WR 19%
WR 7/30/all —/0/19
draw 54%
Kalshi 71%
active 18d
bet $77
tr/day 6.5
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 52/58/53
draw 97%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
+$107 ·1🔓
ROI +4%
Net -10%
bet $220
tr/day 2.6
WR 13%
WR 7/30/all —/0/13
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 16d
bet $227
tr/day 0.1
WR 26%
WR 7/30/all —/—/26
draw 45%
Kalshi 92%
active 6d
+$931 ·1🔓
ROI -10%
Net -19%
bet $235
tr/day 0.5
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/—/37
draw 97%
Kalshi 74%
active 19d
bet $1,472
tr/day 3.4
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all 71/62/59
draw 95%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$12K ·6🔓
ROI +6%
Net -11%
bet $106
tr/day 0.6
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/92
draw 52%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
8766
0x3dcb…324d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $561
tr/day 1.0
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/44/70
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 10d
+$2K ·31🔓
ROI -3%
Net -16%
bet $258
tr/day 0.5
WR 23%
WR 7/30/all —/—/23
draw 37%
Kalshi 75%
active 28d
bet $339
tr/day 0.3
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/40/47
draw 13%
Kalshi 84%
active 1d
bet $192
tr/day 2.7
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all —/14/14
draw 65%
Kalshi 56%
active 19d
8770
0x9d9b…5dde
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $960
tr/day 0.9
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 64%
active 7d
bet $406
tr/day 0.3
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 34%
Kalshi 88%
active 20d
bet $75
tr/day 1.6
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/80/89
draw 24%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
8773
0xbbba…d60f
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche tech
bet $543
tr/day 1.2
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/—/72
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 0d
bet $390
tr/day 0.9
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/71/72
draw 95%
Kalshi 93%
active 6d
bet $56
tr/day 0.3
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/73
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 3d
bet $61
tr/day 5.6
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 58/54/51
draw 61%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $103
tr/day 0.7
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 17%
active 25d
bet $143
tr/day 0.5
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 25d
bet $296
tr/day 0.8
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/100/88
draw 54%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $107
tr/day 1.4
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all 67/59/60
draw 39%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
+$650 ·1🔓
ROI +10%
Net -0%
bet $58
tr/day 0.1
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/—/90
draw 2%
Kalshi 63%
active 25d
8782
0xc1cf…9656
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche politics
bet $509
tr/day 20.5
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all 22/62/54
draw 97%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
+$10K ·66🔓
ROI +5%
Net -19%
bet $318
tr/day 0.9
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all —/—/38
draw 41%
Kalshi 77%
active 16d
8784
0x671f…1ad6
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $553
tr/day 0.2
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/69/72
draw 93%
Kalshi 89%
active 3d
bet $1,464
tr/day 2.0
WR 21%
WR 7/30/all —/0/21
draw 57%
Kalshi 62%
active 21d
8786
0xb6c6…933a
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $175
tr/day 20.0
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/59/61
draw 94%
Kalshi 97%
active 10d
bet $225
tr/day 0.2
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/0
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 25d
bet $117
tr/day 3.0
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all 80/60/69
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 6d
bet $146
tr/day 4.1
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 47/49/41
draw 28%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
+$11K ·6🔓
ROI -2%
Net -15%
bet $261
tr/day 0.9
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/33/58
draw 43%
Kalshi 83%
active 10d
bet $321
tr/day 0.9
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/0/33
draw 43%
Kalshi 92%
active 11d
bet $305
tr/day 0.8
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/17/33
draw 86%
Kalshi 75%
active 11d
bet $114
tr/day 0.7
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/56
draw 2%
Kalshi 80%
active 25d
bet $270
tr/day 1.4
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/19/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 4d
−$16 ·1🔓
ROI -12%
Net -20%
bet $240
tr/day 3.1
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all 62/58/64
draw 75%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
bet $57
tr/day 3.8
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/99
draw 12%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $376
tr/day 1.3
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/50/43
draw 68%
Kalshi 82%
active 26d
8798
0x796d…c6df
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $28
tr/day 10.8
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 55/50/50
draw 6%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $209
tr/day 1.3
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 68/63/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 76%
active 0d
bet $192
tr/day 0.2
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/77
draw 38%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
#8751
negative
other
#8752
negative
sports
#8753
negative
other
#8754
negative
sports
#8755
negative
sports
#8756
negative
other
#8757
negative
world
#8758
negative
other
#8759
negative
other
#8760
negative
sports
#8761
negative
other
#8762
negative
crypto
#8763
negative
world
#8764
negative
sports
#8765
negative
crypto
#8766
negative
crypto
#8767
negative
politics
#8768
negative
world
#8769
negative
other
#8770
negative
other
#8771
negative
world
#8772
negative
politics
#8773
negative
tech
#8774
negative
sports
#8775
negative
politics
#8776
negative
sports
#8777
other
#8778
world
#8779
negative
crypto
#8780
negative
sports
#8781
negative
other
#8782
negative
politics
#8783
negative
world
#8784
negative
crypto
#8785
negative
other
#8786
negative
sports
#8787
negative
politics
#8788
negative
other
#8789
negative
sports
#8790
negative
world
#8791
negative
world
#8792
negative
world
#8793
negative
crypto
#8794
negative
sports
#8795
negative
sports
#8796
negative
crypto
#8797
negative
sports
#8798
one-bet luck
sports
#8799
negative
sports
#8800
negative
other
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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