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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $245
tr/day 4.5
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/52/68
draw 26%
Kalshi 60%
active 0d
bet $305
tr/day 1.5
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/29/42
draw 32%
Kalshi 44%
active 19d
8653
0xd3cf…a5d4
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $1,490
tr/day 1.7
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/69/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
bet $257
tr/day 5.7
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all 29/65/60
draw 60%
Kalshi 96%
active 2d
+$5K ·14🔓
ROI +2%
Net -11%
bet $7
tr/day 2.5
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/36/65
draw 71%
Kalshi 81%
active 25d
8656
0x68d3…55b0
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $1,349
tr/day 2.0
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all 83/75/64
draw 46%
Kalshi 56%
active 0d
bet $78
tr/day 0.6
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
bet $75
tr/day 0.7
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 99%
active 4d
bet $180
tr/day 0.6
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/90/88
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $398
tr/day 0.9
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/100/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 84%
active 4d
bet $392
tr/day 0.6
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 99%
active 4d
bet $78
tr/day 2.5
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/83/75
draw 19%
Kalshi 58%
active 0d
+$223 ·13🔓
ROI +16%
Net +5%
bet $116
tr/day 0.7
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
bet $357
tr/day 4.6
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/33/60
draw 41%
Kalshi 94%
active 2d
bet $144
tr/day 0.6
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
bet $274
tr/day 0.7
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 98%
active 4d
bet $108
tr/day 0.6
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
bet $198
tr/day 0.6
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/90/89
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 2d
bet $132
tr/day 0.6
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/100/88
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $239
tr/day 1.5
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all 64/60/60
draw 34%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
8671
0x210d…a04b
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $51
tr/day 11.2
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/73/67
draw 91%
Kalshi 99%
active 18d
bet $32
tr/day 0.3
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/—/79
draw 2%
Kalshi 85%
active 23d
bet $121
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 26d
8674
0xd73c…6f88
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $25
tr/day 15.9
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all 70/67/67
draw 54%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$224 ·1🔓
ROI +1%
Net -16%
bet $120
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 26d
bet $23
tr/day 0.8
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all 67/56/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 49%
active 3d
bet $81
tr/day 2.2
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 50/35/52
draw 80%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $148
tr/day 5.5
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all 39/51/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 0.1
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all —/86/74
draw 72%
Kalshi 95%
active 3d
bet $197
tr/day 0.6
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/67/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
−$1K ·2🔓
ROI -17%
Net -25%
bet $123
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 26d
bet $348
tr/day 0.5
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 55%
active 19d
8683
0xb063…fa55
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $572
tr/day 1.8
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/62/62
draw 57%
Kalshi 99%
active 19d
8684
0x3a30…34b1
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $685
tr/day 16.8
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all 68/78/73
draw 71%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $238
tr/day 4.8
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/50/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 64%
active 6d
bet $237
tr/day 1.1
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 57/63/57
draw 100%
Kalshi 33%
active 2d
−$1K ·1🔓
ROI -14%
Net -22%
bet $28
tr/day 0.5
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/35/39
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 8d
bet $150
tr/day 0.2
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all —/62/74
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 13d
bet $89
tr/day 0.5
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/—/78
draw 100%
Kalshi 76%
active 10d
+$202 ·14🔓
ROI +3%
Net -7%
bet $294
tr/day 0.2
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 26d
−$771 ·1🔓
ROI -14%
Net -22%
bet $196
tr/day 0.3
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/55/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 9d
bet $208
tr/day 0.3
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/38/42
draw 73%
Kalshi 65%
active 18d
bet $120
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 26d
bet $172
tr/day 0.6
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/45/63
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 1d
8695
0x7a90…2ff9
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche world
bet $105
tr/day 22.1
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all —/38/38
draw 9%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
+$10K ·39🔓
ROI +0%
Net -23%
8696
0xdab4…e253
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,050
tr/day 0.5
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/29/73
draw 90%
Kalshi 100%
active 3d
8697
0x1a40…d239
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $172
tr/day 44.3
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 100/99/99
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$105 ·2🔓
ROI +1%
Net -22%
bet $15
tr/day 3.1
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all 71/65/65
draw 51%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
+$295 ·2🔓
ROI +2%
Net -11%
bet $42
tr/day 0.1
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/—/89
draw 11%
Kalshi 69%
active 26d
bet $340
tr/day 1.0
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/100/96
draw 6%
Kalshi 74%
active 25d
#8651
negative
tech
#8652
negative
other
#8653
negative
sports
#8654
negative
world
#8655
negative
sports
#8656
negative
other
#8657
negative
crypto
#8658
negative
crypto
#8659
negative
crypto
#8660
negative
crypto
#8661
negative
crypto
#8662
trap
other
#8663
negative
crypto
#8664
negative
sports
#8665
negative
crypto
#8666
negative
crypto
#8667
negative
crypto
#8668
negative
crypto
#8669
negative
crypto
#8670
negative
sports
#8671
negative
sports
#8672
negative
world
#8673
negative
crypto
#8674
negative
crypto
#8675
negative
crypto
#8676
negative
other
#8677
negative
sports
#8678
negative
sports
#8679
negative
crypto
#8680
negative
sports
#8681
negative
crypto
#8682
negative
other
#8683
negative
sports
#8684
negative
crypto
#8685
negative
crypto
#8686
negative
other
#8687
negative
sports
#8688
negative
world
#8689
negative
world
#8690
negative
politics
#8691
negative
sports
#8692
negative
world
#8693
negative
crypto
#8694
negative
sports
#8695
negative
world
#8696
negative
crypto
#8697
negative
weather
#8698
negative
crypto
#8699
negative
other
#8700
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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