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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $152
tr/day 0.1
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/42/36
draw 100%
Kalshi 54%
active 13d
8502
0x3bf9…2ebf
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $1,063
tr/day 0.2
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/70/69
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 18d
bet $161
tr/day 0.8
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/48/53
draw 90%
Kalshi 71%
active 11d
bet $66
tr/day 5.1
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 29/57/57
draw 91%
Kalshi 76%
active 0d
+$177 ·3🔓
ROI +4%
Net -10%
8505
0x7d45…1c76
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $1,142
tr/day 0.6
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/—/61
draw 14%
Kalshi 93%
active 25d
bet $144
tr/day 1.0
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/54/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 61%
active 5d
−$877 ·4🔓
ROI -14%
Net -22%
bet $246
tr/day 0.5
WR 26%
WR 7/30/all —/24/26
draw 39%
Kalshi 52%
active 6d
bet $110
tr/day 1.4
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/48/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 0d
−$465 ·2🔓
ROI -8%
Net -16%
8509
0x645e…d9dc
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $645
tr/day 1.8
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/90/90
draw 16%
Kalshi 80%
active 15d
bet $205
tr/day 0.6
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/33/45
draw 52%
Kalshi 40%
active 8d
8511
0xc352…a152
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $1,001
tr/day 1.5
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/82/77
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
−$13K ·2🔓
ROI -2%
Net -15%
bet $3,254
tr/day 3.3
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/67/57
draw 36%
Kalshi 59%
active 14d
bet $62
tr/day 2.4
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all 56/46/42
draw 93%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $115
tr/day 2.9
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all 43/31/35
draw 100%
Kalshi 27%
active 0d
bet $237
tr/day 0.1
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 0%
active 25d
bet $170
tr/day 1.4
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/27/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 6d
bet $227
tr/day 4.3
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all 47/38/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 0d
+$732 ·7🔓
ROI -19%
Net -30%
bet $10
tr/day 0.3
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/42/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 24d
8519
0xa9af…c492
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $976
tr/day 0.9
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/—/41
draw 52%
Kalshi 65%
active 17d
bet $28
tr/day 1.6
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/67/80
draw 100%
Kalshi 26%
active 12d
bet $166
tr/day 0.5
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/36/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 44%
active 18d
bet $173
tr/day 1.3
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all 100/71/73
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
+$83 ·1🔓
ROI -14%
Net -23%
8523
0xd3fb…57e5
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche other
bet $491
tr/day 12.5
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/60/76
draw 5%
Kalshi 63%
active 15d
+$14K ·25🔓
ROI +28%
Net +7%
bet $17
tr/day 5.7
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all 35/48/47
draw 81%
Kalshi 53%
active 0d
+$105 ·8🔓
ROI +2%
Net -11%
8525
0x5d5e…7004
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $723
tr/day 12.6
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 23/40/53
draw 7%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$96K ·1🔓
ROI +0%
Net -20%
bet $54
tr/day 0.4
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/61/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 9d
bet $271
tr/day 0.5
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/—/97
draw 80%
Kalshi 59%
active 25d
8528
0x8049…4a42
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $2,832
tr/day 1.1
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/50/47
draw 89%
Kalshi 73%
active 17d
bet $177
tr/day 0.2
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/100/78
draw 100%
Kalshi 43%
active 0d
bet $120
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 25d
bet $231
tr/day 0.5
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/—/86
draw 8%
Kalshi 97%
active 1d
+$256 ·1🔓
ROI -1%
Net -11%
8532
0x7544…8413
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,397
tr/day 0.3
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all 83/88/92
draw 6%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
+$805 ·1🔓
ROI -1%
Net -14%
bet $12
tr/day 2.3
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/68/70
draw 39%
Kalshi 60%
active 9d
bet $203
tr/day 0.6
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/—/86
draw 19%
Kalshi 97%
active 1d
+$173 ·1🔓
ROI -3%
Net -12%
8535
0x4a30…86a3
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,572
tr/day 0.3
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/—/94
draw 4%
Kalshi 94%
active 25d
bet $200
tr/day 0.1
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/55/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 61%
active 8d
+$271 ·2🔓
ROI -22%
Net -30%
bet $25
tr/day 1.0
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/100/96
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
bet $622
tr/day 7.1
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/70/70
draw 7%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
bet $498
tr/day 0.3
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/71/69
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 3d
bet $127
tr/day 0.9
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 43/42/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
−$169 ·1🔓
ROI -2%
Net -11%
bet $258
tr/day 0.9
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/80/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 1d
−$521 ·7🔓
ROI -5%
Net -14%
bet $110
tr/day 0.8
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all 67/42/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
bet $23
tr/day 2.1
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all 91/82/79
draw 96%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $357
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 96%
active 10d
bet $29
tr/day 3.3
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 61/55/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $158
tr/day 3.7
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 61/55/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$322 ·2🔓
ROI -2%
Net -15%
bet $249
tr/day 0.5
WR 22%
WR 7/30/all —/14/22
draw 33%
Kalshi 68%
active 19d
bet $248
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 10d
bet $277
tr/day 0.4
WR 23%
WR 7/30/all —/12/23
draw 17%
Kalshi 74%
active 16d
bet $42
tr/day 3.4
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 80/58/58
draw 97%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$236 ·2🔓
ROI +10%
Net -4%
#8501
negative
sports
#8502
negative
sports
#8503
negative
sports
#8504
negative
sports
#8505
negative
politics
#8506
negative
world
#8507
negative
sports
#8508
negative
sports
#8509
negative
sports
#8510
negative
other
#8511
negative
sports
#8512
negative
sports
#8513
negative
sports
#8514
negative
other
#8515
other
#8516
negative
sports
#8517
negative
sports
#8518
negative
sports
#8519
negative
sports
#8520
negative
other
#8521
negative
other
#8522
negative
other
#8523
fragile wins
other
#8524
negative
sports
#8525
negative
crypto
#8526
negative
sports
#8527
negative
crypto
#8528
negative
sports
#8529
negative
other
#8530
negative
crypto
#8531
negative
crypto
#8532
negative
crypto
#8533
negative
sports
#8534
negative
crypto
#8535
negative
crypto
#8536
negative
other
#8537
negative
crypto
#8538
negative
crypto
#8539
negative
crypto
#8540
negative
sports
#8541
negative
world
#8542
negative
sports
#8543
negative
weather
#8544
negative
crypto
#8545
negative
sports
#8546
negative
sports
#8547
negative
other
#8548
negative
crypto
#8549
negative
politics
#8550
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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