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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $246
tr/day 0.9
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/56/66
draw 100%
Kalshi 76%
active 12d
−$408 ·2🔓
ROI -10%
Net -19%
bet $141
tr/day 3.2
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all 8/4/14
draw 100%
Kalshi 8%
active 2d
15053
0x6408…c7ae
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $583
tr/day 1.5
WR 32%
WR 7/30/all —/25/32
draw 62%
Kalshi 83%
active 10d
15054
0x685b…8239
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $1,018
tr/day 13.8
WR 85%
WR 7/30/all —/75/85
draw 14%
Kalshi 88%
active 2d
bet $10
tr/day 0.5
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/—/69
draw 24%
Kalshi 83%
active 38d
bet $375
tr/day 2.0
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/33/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 29d
bet $32
tr/day 2.7
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/83/52
draw 87%
Kalshi 75%
active 26d
15058
0x226f…4e44
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $112
tr/day 11.5
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/56
draw 83%
Kalshi 69%
active 26d
15059
0x73d7…360d
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche other
bet $44
tr/day 14.2
WR 16%
WR 7/30/all 0/16/16
draw 33%
Kalshi 52%
active 0d
bet $87
tr/day 4.2
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all 42/43/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 64%
active 0d
+$304 ·1🔓
ROI +13%
Net -1%
15061
0xb368…202b
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $328
tr/day 21.6
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 41%
Kalshi 80%
active 19d
15062
0x7d45…1c76
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $1,142
tr/day 0.6
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/—/61
draw 14%
Kalshi 93%
active 38d
bet $141
tr/day 2.2
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all —/—/14
draw 94%
Kalshi 64%
active 30d
15064
0xc352…a152
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $1,030
tr/day 1.6
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all 75/78/77
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
bet $575
tr/day 7.3
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/59/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
bet $87
tr/day 0.6
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 37%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
bet $28
tr/day 1.6
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/56/80
draw 100%
Kalshi 26%
active 25d
bet $106
tr/day 3.4
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/48/62
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 16d
15069
0x8049…4a42
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $2,832
tr/day 1.1
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/47
draw 92%
Kalshi 73%
active 31d
bet $232
tr/day 0.8
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/100/88
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 1d
bet $114
tr/day 0.8
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 57/57/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
−$246 ·1🔓
ROI -9%
Net -17%
bet $457
tr/day 0.2
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/62/67
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 3d
bet $122
tr/day 0.9
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 57/57/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $142
tr/day 4.3
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 44/51/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
−$199 ·2🔓
ROI -4%
Net -16%
15075
0xc953…8e6a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $507
tr/day 0.2
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/69/66
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 3d
15076
0x03ae…fceb
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $507
tr/day 0.3
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/69/66
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 3d
bet $107
tr/day 0.3
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/—/95
draw 100%
Kalshi 57%
active 1d
bet $136
tr/day 2.0
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 50/40/57
draw 47%
Kalshi 79%
active 0d
bet $291
tr/day 0.6
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 26d
bet $341
tr/day 3.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 43/48/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
−$623 ·2🔓
ROI -5%
Net -17%
bet $260
tr/day 0.5
WR 24%
WR 7/30/all —/0/24
draw 38%
Kalshi 62%
active 16d
bet $272
tr/day 0.5
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/0/20
draw 56%
Kalshi 68%
active 19d
bet $52
tr/day 0.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 25d
15084
0x85b4…f0aa
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $1,952
tr/day 0.0
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/25
draw 79%
Kalshi 71%
active 25d
+$122 ·2🔓
ROI -16%
Net -32%
bet $256
tr/day 0.4
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/0/25
draw 42%
Kalshi 70%
active 18d
bet $28
tr/day 0.5
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/60/69
draw 35%
Kalshi 29%
active 22d
+$137 ·1🔓
ROI -3%
Net -12%
bet $243
tr/day 0.5
WR 21%
WR 7/30/all —/0/21
draw 39%
Kalshi 67%
active 19d
bet $228
tr/day 1.5
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all 100/77/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 2d
bet $48
tr/day 0.2
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 25d
bet $142
tr/day 0.8
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 33/43/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $407
tr/day 0.4
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
15092
0x10ef…7d7b
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $581
tr/day 52.5
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all 80/80/80
draw 14%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
+$21K ·3🔓
ROI +43%
Net +10%
bet $416
tr/day 0.2
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/—/70
draw 100%
Kalshi 76%
active 13d
bet $7
tr/day 1.7
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/56/46
draw 65%
Kalshi 42%
active 14d
bet $288
tr/day 0.3
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/—/37
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
bet $170
tr/day 0.3
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/100/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 10d
15097
0xf268…960f
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $308
tr/day 14.3
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all 28/42/54
draw 52%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
+$14K ·2🔓
ROI -5%
Net -20%
bet $130
tr/day 6.4
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all 71/52/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
−$451 ·1🔓
ROI -4%
Net -17%
bet $498
tr/day 0.2
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/69/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 4d
bet $264
tr/day 0.6
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all —/—/9
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
#15051
negative
crypto
#15052
negative
other
#15053
negative
crypto
#15054
negative
sports
#15055
negative
world
#15056
negative
sports
#15057
negative
crypto
#15058
negative
crypto
#15059
negative
other
#15060
trap
other
#15061
—
borderline
sports
#15062
negative
politics
#15063
negative
other
#15064
negative
sports
#15065
negative
sports
#15066
—
borderline
sports
#15067
negative
other
#15068
negative
sports
#15069
negative
sports
#15070
negative
crypto
#15071
negative
sports
#15072
negative
crypto
#15073
negative
sports
#15074
negative
sports
#15075
negative
crypto
#15076
negative
crypto
#15077
negative
other
#15078
negative
sports
#15079
negative
sports
#15080
negative
sports
#15081
negative
other
#15082
negative
other
#15083
crypto
#15084
negative
other
#15085
negative
other
#15086
negative
other
#15087
negative
other
#15088
negative
world
#15089
crypto
#15090
negative
sports
#15091
negative
world
#15092
thin data
sports
#15093
negative
sports
#15094
negative
other
#15095
negative
world
#15096
negative
crypto
#15097
negative
sports
#15098
negative
crypto
#15099
negative
crypto
#15100
thin data
world
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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