trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 50% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -26.2% | -33.3% | 25% | 0% | -22.2% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -8.9% | -17.6% | 45% | 0% | -11.0% |
| all | 11 | -8.9% | -17.6% | 45% | 0% | -11.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.6% | 0% | -11.0% |
| 10% | -25.4% | 0% | -19.5% |
| 15% | -32.6% | 0% | -27.3% |
| 20% | -39.3% | 0% | -34.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $238 | $238 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31? | Jun 18 | $226 | +$3 | +2% |
| US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30? | Jun 17 | $228 | −$1 | -0% |
| Spread: Rosenborg BK (-1.5) | May 29 | $82 | −$82 | -100% |
| Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? | May 29 | $59 | −$4 | -6% |
| Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5) | May 11 | $480 | +$10 | +2% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 09 | $477 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5) | May 08 | $476 | +$14 | +3% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 07 | $481 | $0 | +0% |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? | Apr 20 | $381 | $0 | -0% |
| Spread: Slovenia (-2.5) | Mar 29 | $201 | +$4 | +2% |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Mar 28 | $201 | $0 | +0% |