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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $51
tr/day 0.1
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/36/55
draw 62%
Kalshi 82%
active 10d
bet $432
tr/day 2.2
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/71/61
draw 76%
Kalshi 77%
active 10d
bet $57
tr/day 0.2
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/83/43
draw 61%
Kalshi 43%
active 10d
bet $127
tr/day 3.7
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/47/54
draw 71%
Kalshi 34%
active 10d
bet $140
tr/day 0.5
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/54/63
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 10d
bet $247
tr/day 0.4
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 1%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
bet $449
tr/day 0.8
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/36/48
draw 42%
Kalshi 89%
active 11d
bet $164
tr/day 2.4
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/—/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 56%
active 10d
bet $133
tr/day 0.5
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/50/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 33%
active 10d
bet $174
tr/day 0.9
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/57/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 10d
bet $50
tr/day 0.0
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 0%
active 10d
11162
0x774b…4863
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $846
tr/day 0.2
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 10d
bet $187
tr/day 0.1
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 10d
11164
0x1f7f…e26c
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $1,011
tr/day 0.3
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/—/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 57%
active 10d
bet $125
tr/day 0.3
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/71/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 10d
+$141 ·17🔓
ROI +7%
Net -3%
bet $37
tr/day 2.1
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/71/75
draw 17%
Kalshi 86%
active 10d
bet $109
tr/day 0.5
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/70/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 45%
active 2d
bet $106
tr/day 0.4
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/36/44
draw 9%
Kalshi 67%
active 10d
bet $266
tr/day 1.0
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 10d
bet $488
tr/day 0.7
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/—/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 51%
active 10d
bet $144
tr/day 0.2
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/42/36
draw 100%
Kalshi 38%
active 5d
−$2K ·1🔓
ROI -13%
Net -21%
bet $130
tr/day 0.0
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 60%
active 10d
11173
0xca81…7c38
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $613
tr/day 0.2
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/70/64
draw 3%
Kalshi 33%
active 2d
bet $263
tr/day 1.9
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/60/51
draw 43%
Kalshi 70%
active 10d
bet $121
tr/day 1.2
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all 44/61/64
draw 72%
Kalshi 59%
active 0d
bet $167
tr/day 1.8
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/20/20
draw 67%
Kalshi 0%
active 10d
bet $156
tr/day 6.5
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 56/42/50
draw 75%
Kalshi 87%
active 1d
bet $51
tr/day 4.3
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/50/59
draw 100%
Kalshi 61%
active 0d
+$2K ·41🔓
ROI +4%
Net -10%
bet $1,761
tr/day 2.4
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 67%
Kalshi 25%
active 10d
bet $253
tr/day 2.1
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all —/35/35
draw 89%
Kalshi 50%
active 10d
11181
0x760f…326a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $5,191
tr/day 1.3
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 50/57/51
draw 55%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $34
tr/day 1.2
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 63%
Kalshi 50%
active 10d
bet $141
tr/day 0.0
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 10d
bet $370
tr/day 0.2
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/50/36
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 10d
bet $330
tr/day 0.1
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all —/14/31
draw 100%
Kalshi 31%
active 10d
bet $166
tr/day 1.3
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/64/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 59%
active 6d
bet $413
tr/day 0.2
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 44%
active 10d
bet $328
tr/day 4.8
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/73/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $109
tr/day 0.1
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/—/30
draw 100%
Kalshi 43%
active 10d
bet $63
tr/day 0.6
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/21/27
draw 22%
Kalshi 47%
active 5d
11191
0xa7b4…b7b9
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $958
tr/day 0.4
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/46/54
draw 36%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
+$413 ·2🔓
ROI -0%
Net -13%
bet $21
tr/day 2.6
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/55/53
draw 68%
Kalshi 91%
active 9d
11193
0xc348…384d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $1,253
tr/day 0.4
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/73
draw 30%
Kalshi 5%
active 10d
11194
0x3e6a…2dcf
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $637
tr/day 1.3
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 87%
active 10d
bet $8
tr/day 0.2
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/57/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 52%
active 0d
bet $29
tr/day 2.2
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all 50/40/40
draw 24%
Kalshi 67%
active 1d
bet $103
tr/day 1.2
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/31/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 4d
bet $10
tr/day 6.0
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 50%
Kalshi 33%
active 10d
bet $101
tr/day 0.5
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/50/25
draw 100%
Kalshi 17%
active 0d
bet $486
tr/day 1.1
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all 86/84/84
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
#11151
negative
sports
#11152
negative
sports
#11153
negative
other
#11154
negative
other
#11155
negative
sports
#11156
negative
sports
#11157
negative
sports
#11158
negative
sports
#11159
negative
other
#11160
negative
sports
#11161
other
#11162
sports
#11163
world
#11164
negative
other
#11165
negative
politics
#11166
negative
sports
#11167
negative
other
#11168
negative
other
#11169
negative
crypto
#11170
negative
other
#11171
negative
other
#11172
sports
#11173
negative
other
#11174
negative
sports
#11175
negative
sports
#11176
negative
other
#11177
negative
sports
#11178
negative
other
#11179
other
#11180
one-bet luck
other
#11181
negative
sports
#11182
sports
#11183
sports
#11184
negative
sports
#11185
negative
other
#11186
negative
world
#11187
negative
other
#11188
negative
sports
#11189
negative
other
#11190
negative
other
#11191
negative
other
#11192
negative
sports
#11193
negative
other
#11194
negative
sports
#11195
negative
other
#11196
negative
sports
#11197
negative
other
#11198
other
#11199
negative
other
#11200
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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