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Threshold 5.0
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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $49
tr/day 5.6
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 96/98/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
bet $49
tr/day 5.3
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 92/97/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
bet $99
tr/day 6.1
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 96/98/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
bet $50
tr/day 5.8
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 93/97/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 64%
active 0d
bet $49
tr/day 5.4
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 94/98/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 72%
active 0d
bet $49
tr/day 5.6
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 97/98/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
bet $49
tr/day 5.7
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 94/98/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
bet $50
tr/day 5.4
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 93/97/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
bet $50
tr/day 5.9
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 94/98/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 63%
active 0d
bet $79
tr/day 5.3
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 94/96/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 72%
active 0d
bet $50
tr/day 5.5
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 100/97/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 66%
active 0d
bet $50
tr/day 5.6
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 96/97/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
bet $49
tr/day 5.9
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 96/98/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 73%
active 0d
bet $134
tr/day 0.1
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/—/91
draw 26%
Kalshi 98%
active 11d
bet $50
tr/day 5.4
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 96/98/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 72%
active 0d
bet $49
tr/day 5.0
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 100/98/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
bet $49
tr/day 5.8
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 96/98/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 65%
active 0d
bet $50
tr/day 5.2
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 93/98/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
bet $49
tr/day 5.6
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 96/98/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
bet $50
tr/day 5.1
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 100/97/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $50
tr/day 5.6
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 97/98/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
bet $49
tr/day 7.4
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 96/98/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
bet $49
tr/day 5.4
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 95/98/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
11774
0x2043…f1f4
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $741
tr/day 1.5
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/96
draw 5%
Kalshi 61%
active 4d
bet $33
tr/day 2.1
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all 33/38/47
draw 52%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $455
tr/day 0.1
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/75
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 11d
bet $166
tr/day 0.8
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/50/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 36%
active 1d
11778
0x560d…7633
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $658
tr/day 0.7
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/100/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 1%
active 3d
+$168 ·1🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
11779
0x0c44…5be4
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $635
tr/day 0.8
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 3%
Kalshi 1%
active 0d
+$126 ·1🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $110
tr/day 3.3
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all 70/47/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $301
tr/day 0.5
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/58/56
draw 84%
Kalshi 52%
active 10d
bet $390
tr/day 0.3
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 11d
−$147 ·1🔓
ROI -14%
Net -22%
bet $319
tr/day 0.1
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all 86/93/66
draw 68%
Kalshi 55%
active 1d
bet $305
tr/day 0.1
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/27/44
draw 64%
Kalshi 53%
active 2d
+$737 ·3🔓
ROI -2%
Net -11%
bet $206
tr/day 0.2
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/—/88
draw 11%
Kalshi 96%
active 11d
bet $112
tr/day 0.8
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 57/54/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
bet $113
tr/day 0.9
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 57/61/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 1d
bet $118
tr/day 0.9
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all 57/54/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
bet $141
tr/day 0.2
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/71
draw 20%
Kalshi 50%
active 11d
bet $336
tr/day 3.6
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
+$103 ·5🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $62
tr/day 2.4
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/37/41
draw 44%
Kalshi 63%
active 0d
bet $101
tr/day 0.1
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/0/0
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 11d
bet $16
tr/day 0.9
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all 67/74/70
draw 82%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $173
tr/day 1.4
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/100/68
draw 45%
Kalshi 29%
active 1d
+$133 ·4🔓
ROI -1%
Net -10%
bet $18
tr/day 1.7
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/61/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 8d
bet $208
tr/day 0.5
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all 33/41/43
draw 64%
Kalshi 72%
active 0d
bet $76
tr/day 0.6
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all —/41/35
draw 57%
Kalshi 91%
active 5d
bet $62
tr/day 1.8
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all 56/58/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 53%
active 0d
11799
0x46cf…42ea
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $723
tr/day 1.8
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/30/49
draw 63%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
bet $818
tr/day 4.2
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/51/52
draw 40%
Kalshi 88%
active 11d
#11751
negative
sports
#11752
negative
sports
#11753
negative
sports
#11754
negative
sports
#11755
negative
sports
#11756
negative
sports
#11757
negative
sports
#11758
negative
sports
#11759
negative
sports
#11760
negative
sports
#11761
negative
sports
#11762
negative
sports
#11763
negative
sports
#11764
negative
crypto
#11765
negative
sports
#11766
negative
sports
#11767
negative
sports
#11768
negative
sports
#11769
negative
sports
#11770
negative
sports
#11771
negative
sports
#11772
negative
sports
#11773
negative
sports
#11774
negative
crypto
#11775
negative
crypto
#11776
negative
crypto
#11777
negative
other
#11778
negative
other
#11779
negative
other
#11780
negative
sports
#11781
negative
other
#11782
negative
world
#11783
negative
other
#11784
negative
other
#11785
negative
crypto
#11786
negative
sports
#11787
negative
sports
#11788
negative
sports
#11789
negative
other
#11790
negative
weather
#11791
negative
other
#11792
negative
crypto
#11793
negative
sports
#11794
negative
other
#11795
negative
sports
#11796
negative
sports
#11797
negative
sports
#11798
negative
other
#11799
negative
sports
#11800
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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