trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 0% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 75% | 0% | -9.0% |
| all | 8 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 75% | 0% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 0% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 0% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -25.8% | 0% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $394 | $400 | +$6 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | Jun 18 | $277 | −$3 | -1% |
| Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5) | May 11 | $469 | +$9 | +2% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | May 09 | $468 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5) | May 09 | $462 | +$7 | +2% |
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? | May 08 | $458 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 20 | Apr 24 | $420 | $0 | +0% |
| Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 202 | Apr 23 | $453 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting? | Apr 09 | $300 | +$2 | +0% |