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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $403
tr/day 0.3
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 96%
Kalshi 75%
active 1d
bet $132
tr/day 1.3
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/77/79
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 1d
11003
0x895d…c3eb
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $552
tr/day 0.1
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/46/44
draw 53%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
11004
0xc5df…63cf
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $1,682
tr/day 0.4
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/56/45
draw 10%
Kalshi 66%
active 1d
bet $386
tr/day 0.2
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/—/95
draw 78%
Kalshi 84%
active 14d
11006
0xf17a…8abe
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $2,852
tr/day 0.6
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/88/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $261
tr/day 6.7
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all 40/77/80
draw 100%
Kalshi 59%
active 0d
bet $329
tr/day 0.5
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 22d
bet $235
tr/day 0.6
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/17/25
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 6d
bet $337
tr/day 0.7
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/33/33
draw 23%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 2.8
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/65/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 63%
active 21d
bet $251
tr/day 1.1
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/96
draw 14%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
+$138 ·1🔓
ROI -1%
Net -10%
bet $462
tr/day 0.1
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/81
draw 31%
Kalshi 87%
active 10d
+$702 ·1🔓
ROI +10%
Net -0%
bet $175
tr/day 0.8
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 25%
active 10d
bet $160
tr/day 0.3
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all 33/43/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $306
tr/day 0.5
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/33
draw 34%
Kalshi 83%
active 10d
bet $235
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 94%
active 10d
bet $231
tr/day 1.0
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/67/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 48%
active 10d
−$500 ·2🔓
ROI -10%
Net -19%
bet $12
tr/day 2.6
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/34/41
draw 83%
Kalshi 61%
active 1d
+$124 ·6🔓
ROI -1%
Net -10%
bet $961
tr/day 3.8
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/79/76
draw 22%
Kalshi 60%
active 9d
bet $124
tr/day 4.1
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/41/45
draw 73%
Kalshi 100%
active 10d
bet $132
tr/day 2.9
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/32/29
draw 90%
Kalshi 81%
active 10d
bet $118
tr/day 0.9
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/33/44
draw 79%
Kalshi 98%
active 5d
bet $345
tr/day 0.6
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/30/36
draw 21%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
11025
0x98ec…de84
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $586
tr/day 1.8
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 60/69/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
−$6K ·1🔓
ROI +29%
Net +12%
bet $70
tr/day 0.3
WR 85%
WR 7/30/all 100/94/85
draw 9%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
11027
0xe080…5da9
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $109
tr/day 12.3
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/44/81
draw 69%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $162
tr/day 3.2
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/49/45
draw 100%
Kalshi 49%
active 1d
−$966 ·8🔓
ROI -7%
Net -19%
bet $14
tr/day 6.3
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/78/78
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 6d
11030
0x51d7…637e
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $114
tr/day 10.3
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/76/76
draw 47%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
11031
0xb3af…84fc
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $637
tr/day 0.4
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/50/67
draw 12%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
+$2K ·41🔓
ROI +3%
Net -10%
11032
0x83a1…0747
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $672
tr/day 0.3
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/33
draw 1%
Kalshi 92%
active 2d
11033
0x2a7e…82dd
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $600
tr/day 0.4
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/33
draw 1%
Kalshi 92%
active 2d
bet $348
tr/day 0.8
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/25/25
draw 4%
Kalshi 92%
active 10d
bet $111
tr/day 0.5
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/67/58
draw 47%
Kalshi 92%
active 9d
+$215 ·1🔓
ROI -13%
Net -22%
11036
0xf759…86e3
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $606
tr/day 0.2
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all —/—/38
draw 1%
Kalshi 92%
active 2d
bet $12
tr/day 0.9
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all —/35/38
draw 71%
Kalshi 9%
active 4d
bet $403
tr/day 3.1
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all 100/92/92
draw 31%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
+$2K ·37🔓
ROI +3%
Net -10%
bet $189
tr/day 1.2
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/100/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
bet $90
tr/day 1.0
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/100/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 99%
active 3d
bet $152
tr/day 2.4
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all —/35/38
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 9d
bet $48
tr/day 1.1
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/100/95
draw 2%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
11043
0xfb2e…a7d7
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $603
tr/day 0.6
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/89
draw 6%
Kalshi 98%
active 3d
bet $170
tr/day 0.1
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/—/96
draw 7%
Kalshi 67%
active 10d
11045
0xd37a…9537
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $524
tr/day 0.7
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/90
draw 7%
Kalshi 99%
active 3d
bet $15
tr/day 5.3
WR 22%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 34%
Kalshi 19%
active 1d
—
+$647 ·2🔓
ROI +33%
Net +16%
11047
0x5be7…1b1d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $6,008
tr/day 0.8
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/93/94
draw 26%
Kalshi 80%
active 4d
+$23K ·2🔓
ROI +0%
Net -18%
bet $129
tr/day 3.1
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/47/46
draw 79%
Kalshi 62%
active 10d
bet $117
tr/day 1.5
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/22/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 1d
+$100 ·3🔓
ROI +12%
Net +2%
bet $25
tr/day 2.4
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
#11001
—
one-bet luck
sports
#11002
negative
other
#11003
negative
sports
#11004
negative
sports
#11005
negative
crypto
#11006
negative
sports
#11007
negative
sports
#11008
negative
world
#11009
negative
world
#11010
negative
world
#11011
negative
other
#11012
negative
crypto
#11013
negative
sports
#11014
other
#11015
negative
crypto
#11016
negative
world
#11017
negative
tech
#11018
negative
other
#11019
negative
sports
#11020
negative
other
#11021
negative
crypto
#11022
negative
sports
#11023
negative
sports
#11024
negative
world
#11025
edge dead
crypto
#11026
negative
weather
#11027
negative
crypto
#11028
negative
other
#11029
negative
crypto
#11030
negative
crypto
#11031
negative
other
#11032
negative
crypto
#11033
negative
crypto
#11034
negative
world
#11035
negative
world
#11036
negative
crypto
#11037
negative
other
#11038
negative
world
#11039
negative
weather
#11040
negative
weather
#11041
negative
sports
#11042
negative
weather
#11043
negative
crypto
#11044
negative
crypto
#11045
negative
crypto
#11046
—
borderline
other
#11047
negative
world
#11048
negative
crypto
#11049
trap
crypto
#11050
negative
weather
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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