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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $363
tr/day 1.4
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all —/35/35
draw 82%
Kalshi 65%
active 1d
bet $178
tr/day 0.1
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/20
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 21d
bet $144
tr/day 0.3
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 0%
active 21d
bet $39
tr/day 3.8
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all 82/83/84
draw 9%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$578 ·2🔓
ROI -1%
Net -14%
bet $122
tr/day 0.1
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/62
draw 100%
Kalshi 54%
active 22d
bet $173
tr/day 0.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 21d
bet $117
tr/day 0.1
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 21d
10958
0x8cc3…9aa0
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $515
tr/day 0.9
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 22d
bet $1,285
tr/day 2.4
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/56/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 21d
bet $126
tr/day 1.3
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/100/96
draw 35%
Kalshi 97%
active 2d
bet $194
tr/day 0.8
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/98/87
draw 36%
Kalshi 95%
active 13d
bet $122
tr/day 1.3
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 53/53/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $663
tr/day 2.0
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 3d
bet $430
tr/day 0.4
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/60/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 20d
bet $109
tr/day 2.0
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/23/25
draw 82%
Kalshi 43%
active 19d
10966
0x056d…b817
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $908
tr/day 0.0
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all —/—/11
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 19d
bet $15
tr/day 0.9
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/89/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 21d
bet $125
tr/day 1.0
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/30/37
draw 35%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
bet $66
tr/day 1.3
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/64/61
draw 66%
Kalshi 55%
active 21d
bet $747
tr/day 4.0
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/71/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 22d
bet $109
tr/day 2.1
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/33
draw 78%
Kalshi 67%
active 22d
bet $160
tr/day 1.2
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/78/72
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 21d
10973
0xd1d9…5896
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $767
tr/day 1.2
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/35/42
draw 84%
Kalshi 82%
active 0d
+$20K ·2🔓
ROI +3%
Net -10%
bet $162
tr/day 0.3
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 21d
bet $70
tr/day 0.8
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/77/77
draw 100%
Kalshi 60%
active 0d
bet $48
tr/day 1.6
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 82%
Kalshi 31%
active 21d
bet $126
tr/day 1.7
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all 36/31/31
draw 79%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
+$155 ·4🔓
ROI -27%
Net -34%
bet $10
tr/day 1.2
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/36/33
draw 24%
Kalshi 17%
active 21d
bet $17
tr/day 5.9
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all 33/44/40
draw 41%
Kalshi 57%
active 0d
bet $211
tr/day 0.2
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/50/57
draw 100%
Kalshi 64%
active 22d
bet $417
tr/day 0.1
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 22d
10982
0x294a…8fb7
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $1,929
tr/day 0.6
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all —/76/74
draw 15%
Kalshi 87%
active 10d
bet $11
tr/day 5.1
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 41%
Kalshi 22%
active 0d
—
+$290 ·19🔓
ROI +92%
Net +67%
bet $104
tr/day 2.7
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/65/65
draw 79%
Kalshi 48%
active 3d
10985
0x7d02…087b
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $546
tr/day 1.5
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/69/66
draw 50%
Kalshi 80%
active 1d
bet $49
tr/day 6.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 22%
Kalshi 33%
active 21d
bet $229
tr/day 0.1
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 57%
active 22d
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $8
tr/day 1.2
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/60/46
draw 52%
Kalshi 21%
active 21d
10990
0x538e…77f5
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $141
tr/day 9.1
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all 86/83/73
draw 16%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $156
tr/day 0.0
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 76%
active 0d
−$485 ·3🔓
ROI -28%
Net -35%
bet $96
tr/day 7.5
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 92/98/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
bet $152
tr/day 0.4
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 3d
bet $265
tr/day 0.4
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 18%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$124 ·1🔓
ROI -1%
Net -10%
bet $304
tr/day 0.4
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/100/99
draw 3%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$182 ·1🔓
ROI -0%
Net -10%
bet $284
tr/day 1.2
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all 71/67/61
draw 41%
Kalshi 78%
active 0d
bet $61
tr/day 0.9
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/71/45
draw 71%
Kalshi 81%
active 10d
bet $403
tr/day 0.3
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 96%
Kalshi 75%
active 1d
bet $132
tr/day 1.3
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/77/79
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 1d
11000
0x895d…c3eb
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $552
tr/day 0.1
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/46/44
draw 53%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
#10951
negative
sports
#10952
negative
world
#10953
other
#10954
negative
sports
#10955
negative
other
#10956
negative
sports
#10957
negative
sports
#10958
negative
world
#10959
negative
sports
#10960
negative
crypto
#10961
negative
weather
#10962
negative
sports
#10963
—
edge dead
sports
#10964
negative
crypto
#10965
negative
other
#10966
negative
other
#10967
negative
other
#10968
negative
politics
#10969
negative
other
#10970
negative
sports
#10971
negative
sports
#10972
negative
sports
#10973
negative
sports
#10974
negative
sports
#10975
negative
sports
#10976
—
borderline
other
#10977
negative
other
#10978
negative
other
#10979
negative
sports
#10980
negative
sports
#10981
other
#10982
negative
sports
#10983
—
borderline
other
#10984
negative
other
#10985
negative
sports
#10986
other
#10987
negative
other
#10988
negative
weather
#10989
negative
other
#10990
negative
sports
#10991
negative
world
#10992
negative
sports
#10993
negative
crypto
#10994
negative
crypto
#10995
negative
crypto
#10996
negative
sports
#10997
negative
sports
#10998
—
one-bet luck
sports
#10999
negative
other
#11000
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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