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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $44
tr/day 1.5
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/59/58
draw 19%
Kalshi 63%
active 5d
bet $260
tr/day 0.1
WR 28%
WR 7/30/all —/14/28
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 20d
bet $437
tr/day 0.8
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 50/56/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
bet $5
tr/day 5.5
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/37/45
draw 25%
Kalshi 36%
active 14d
bet $130
tr/day 0.8
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/94
draw 4%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $146
tr/day 2.4
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/79/70
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
−$779 ·28🔓
ROI -6%
Net -15%
bet $140
tr/day 0.5
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/50/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 10%
active 17d
bet $12
tr/day 0.7
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/45/56
draw 84%
Kalshi 78%
active 18d
bet $365
tr/day 0.3
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/—/96
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
bet $36
tr/day 0.3
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 52%
Kalshi 91%
active 21d
bet $158
tr/day 3.7
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/54/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 45%
active 0d
+$468 ·7🔓
ROI -11%
Net -23%
bet $321
tr/day 1.1
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/59/62
draw 25%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
10513
0x5556…d729
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $174
tr/day 23.9
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all 60/63/63
draw 9%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $217
tr/day 0.2
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/95
draw 0%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $167
tr/day 1.2
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 1%
Kalshi 97%
active 21d
bet $64
tr/day 1.0
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/—/66
draw 54%
Kalshi 85%
active 10d
bet $138
tr/day 1.7
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/100/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 98%
active 18d
bet $154
tr/day 1.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 96%
active 18d
bet $169
tr/day 1.7
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/100/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 98%
active 18d
bet $167
tr/day 2.0
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 43/44/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 1d
bet $136
tr/day 1.1
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 99%
active 20d
bet $149
tr/day 1.8
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 95%
active 18d
bet $215
tr/day 0.4
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all 86/67/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $15
tr/day 0.2
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/60/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 47%
active 20d
bet $10
tr/day 6.0
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all 63/53/64
draw 73%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
10526
0xa7fa…7bd6
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $574
tr/day 0.8
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/81
draw 2%
Kalshi 76%
active 20d
+$743 ·4🔓
ROI +3%
Net -10%
bet $22
tr/day 0.6
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/80/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 64%
active 13d
bet $152
tr/day 2.0
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 58/59/57
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $114
tr/day 0.4
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/64/63
draw 26%
Kalshi 18%
active 8d
bet $210
tr/day 2.3
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/—/87
draw 9%
Kalshi 72%
active 6d
+$201 ·2🔓
ROI -1%
Net -11%
bet $79
tr/day 2.5
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all 79/76/71
draw 1%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $198
tr/day 2.3
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/0/12
draw 100%
Kalshi 63%
active 20d
bet $405
tr/day 0.5
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/20/37
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 20d
bet $443
tr/day 0.7
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/—/69
draw 100%
Kalshi 15%
active 20d
bet $402
tr/day 0.4
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/38/43
draw 18%
Kalshi 95%
active 13d
bet $75
tr/day 0.2
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all —/—/84
draw 35%
Kalshi 77%
active 20d
bet $241
tr/day 0.2
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 16d
bet $366
tr/day 0.5
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 20d
bet $175
tr/day 0.2
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/—/46
draw 99%
Kalshi 78%
active 20d
10540
0xce4e…5629
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,424
tr/day 0.5
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/50/81
draw 87%
Kalshi 84%
active 19d
bet $337
tr/day 0.9
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/33
draw 4%
Kalshi 83%
active 17d
10542
0xe239…571f
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $869
tr/day 0.1
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 20d
10543
0xee69…8e78
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $874
tr/day 0.1
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 20d
10544
0x08fd…8c25
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $769
tr/day 0.1
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 20d
10545
0xe602…b6c3
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $800
tr/day 0.1
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 20d
10546
0xfc6e…45d2
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $825
tr/day 0.1
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 20d
10547
0x735d…4f78
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $792
tr/day 0.1
WR 22%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 20d
bet $111
tr/day 1.1
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 100/97/99
draw 12%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $139
tr/day 2.6
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all 67/73/81
draw 9%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $197
tr/day 0.2
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/71/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
#10501
negative
other
#10502
negative
politics
#10503
negative
sports
#10504
negative
other
#10505
negative
crypto
#10506
negative
crypto
#10507
edge dead
other
#10508
negative
sports
#10509
negative
tech
#10510
crypto
#10511
negative
other
#10512
negative
sports
#10513
negative
weather
#10514
negative
crypto
#10515
negative
weather
#10516
negative
sports
#10517
negative
weather
#10518
negative
weather
#10519
negative
weather
#10520
negative
sports
#10521
negative
weather
#10522
negative
weather
#10523
negative
sports
#10524
negative
other
#10525
negative
crypto
#10526
negative
other
#10527
negative
sports
#10528
negative
sports
#10529
negative
other
#10530
negative
other
#10531
negative
crypto
#10532
negative
politics
#10533
negative
world
#10534
negative
other
#10535
negative
world
#10536
negative
other
#10537
world
#10538
negative
world
#10539
negative
crypto
#10540
negative
crypto
#10541
negative
world
#10542
politics
#10543
politics
#10544
politics
#10545
politics
#10546
politics
#10547
sports
#10548
negative
crypto
#10549
negative
world
#10550
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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