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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $409
tr/day 0.0
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 22%
active 20d
bet $121
tr/day 0.3
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/67/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 25%
active 16d
bet $362
tr/day 0.2
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/57/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 16d
bet $222
tr/day 1.0
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/53/59
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 16d
bet $60
tr/day 0.3
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/38/43
draw 32%
Kalshi 35%
active 16d
+$970 ·1🔓
ROI -18%
Net -26%
bet $215
tr/day 0.8
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/50/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 43%
active 20d
bet $12
tr/day 2.7
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/44/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 22%
active 20d
bet $246
tr/day 0.1
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/33/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 14d
bet $29
tr/day 6.8
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all —/22/38
draw 44%
Kalshi 51%
active 20d
bet $130
tr/day 1.3
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/44/42
draw 22%
Kalshi 53%
active 21d
bet $118
tr/day 0.3
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/43/61
draw 90%
Kalshi 71%
active 16d
bet $210
tr/day 1.9
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all 40/44/47
draw 88%
Kalshi 43%
active 0d
bet $232
tr/day 2.4
WR 32%
WR 7/30/all 0/37/32
draw 88%
Kalshi 71%
active 2d
bet $139
tr/day 1.3
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/20/12
draw 60%
Kalshi 6%
active 16d
bet $82
tr/day 1.3
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/40/40
draw 4%
Kalshi 47%
active 16d
bet $23
tr/day 1.2
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/42/33
draw 22%
Kalshi 33%
active 16d
10467
0x63d1…40c9
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $516
tr/day 0.5
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/50/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 10d
bet $132
tr/day 2.8
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 11d
bet $93
tr/day 1.3
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 86%
Kalshi 33%
active 16d
bet $170
tr/day 4.0
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all 23/38/31
draw 49%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
bet $44
tr/day 2.6
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/38/39
draw 67%
Kalshi 76%
active 16d
bet $395
tr/day 1.2
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/20/59
draw 50%
Kalshi 77%
active 20d
bet $117
tr/day 0.9
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/53/43
draw 65%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
+$2K ·3🔓
ROI -16%
Net -24%
bet $158
tr/day 3.3
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/49/65
draw 97%
Kalshi 79%
active 2d
bet $12
tr/day 1.0
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/48/58
draw 94%
Kalshi 55%
active 8d
bet $16
tr/day 2.7
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/36/42
draw 80%
Kalshi 75%
active 13d
bet $210
tr/day 2.0
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/48/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 66%
active 16d
bet $36
tr/day 1.1
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/53/59
draw 19%
Kalshi 56%
active 16d
10479
0x3998…3318
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $874
tr/day 0.2
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/30/53
draw 100%
Kalshi 41%
active 16d
bet $103
tr/day 1.1
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/43/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 7d
bet $10
tr/day 5.2
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/62/62
draw 100%
Kalshi 76%
active 16d
bet $108
tr/day 2.4
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/50/50
draw 18%
Kalshi 60%
active 14d
bet $37
tr/day 1.9
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/63/63
draw 19%
Kalshi 96%
active 10d
bet $125
tr/day 3.2
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all —/68/66
draw 17%
Kalshi 91%
active 16d
bet $27
tr/day 1.6
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/44/44
draw 72%
Kalshi 26%
active 4d
10486
0x9d3a…b386
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $8
tr/day 21.8
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/33/40
draw 89%
Kalshi 58%
active 16d
10487
0x4b9a…fdc7
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $1,268
tr/day 0.3
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/—/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 20d
bet $260
tr/day 0.9
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/80/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 24%
active 8d
bet $135
tr/day 2.5
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/56/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 3d
10490
0x5e76…e8e2
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $566
tr/day 0.2
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 11d
bet $425
tr/day 1.3
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/25/46
draw 37%
Kalshi 73%
active 19d
bet $180
tr/day 0.2
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/71/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 40%
active 0d
bet $347
tr/day 0.1
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 20d
bet $160
tr/day 2.2
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/0/12
draw 17%
Kalshi 64%
active 19d
bet $188
tr/day 0.2
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/12/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 51%
active 16d
+$84 ·2🔓
ROI -14%
Net -22%
bet $476
tr/day 0.2
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/50/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 17d
10497
0x82cb…adf9
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $666
tr/day 0.1
WR 10%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 20d
bet $12
tr/day 2.0
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/100/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 20d
bet $56
tr/day 3.5
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/—/54
draw 82%
Kalshi 88%
active 20d
10500
0xb109…d40f
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $121
tr/day 8.9
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all 71/55/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 0d
#10451
other
#10452
negative
other
#10453
negative
sports
#10454
negative
sports
#10455
negative
other
#10456
negative
other
#10457
negative
other
#10458
negative
crypto
#10459
negative
other
#10460
negative
other
#10461
negative
other
#10462
negative
other
#10463
negative
politics
#10464
negative
other
#10465
negative
other
#10466
negative
other
#10467
negative
other
#10468
sports
#10469
other
#10470
negative
world
#10471
negative
sports
#10472
trap
politics
#10473
negative
sports
#10474
negative
sports
#10475
negative
other
#10476
negative
crypto
#10477
negative
sports
#10478
negative
other
#10479
negative
other
#10480
negative
sports
#10481
negative
crypto
#10482
negative
sports
#10483
negative
weather
#10484
negative
sports
#10485
negative
other
#10486
negative
sports
#10487
negative
world
#10488
negative
other
#10489
negative
sports
#10490
politics
#10491
negative
crypto
#10492
negative
other
#10493
—
politics
#10494
negative
other
#10495
negative
other
#10496
negative
sports
#10497
world
#10498
negative
sports
#10499
negative
sports
#10500
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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