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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
12401
0x2f78…091b
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $576
tr/day 0.8
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/64/62
draw 14%
Kalshi 38%
active 2d
bet $173
tr/day 0.1
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 12d
12403
0x86c2…8010
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $17
tr/day 27.4
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all 46/47/59
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
bet $232
tr/day 0.7
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/50/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 12d
bet $291
tr/day 0.6
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/44/50
draw 7%
Kalshi 92%
active 11d
bet $199
tr/day 1.0
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all 80/71/86
draw 38%
Kalshi 77%
active 2d
bet $61
tr/day 0.1
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/—/97
draw 13%
Kalshi 81%
active 12d
12408
0xb412…23a5
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $2,399
tr/day 0.4
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
+$12K ·4🔓
ROI +1%
Net -18%
12409
0x32b5…55bd
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $626
tr/day 0.1
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/—/77
draw 35%
Kalshi 50%
active 12d
bet $199
tr/day 0.5
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/100/88
draw 6%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
bet $457
tr/day 0.5
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/—/95
draw 3%
Kalshi 90%
active 8d
bet $121
tr/day 1.8
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/17/43
draw 94%
Kalshi 45%
active 10d
bet $179
tr/day 2.6
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/25/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 1d
bet $89
tr/day 0.3
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/—/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 56%
active 12d
bet $79
tr/day 2.0
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all 50/50/69
draw 21%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
bet $64
tr/day 3.7
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/76/76
draw 8%
Kalshi 73%
active 1d
bet $25
tr/day 3.7
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 44/50/50
draw 21%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $367
tr/day 0.1
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/—/92
draw 13%
Kalshi 78%
active 13d
bet $29
tr/day 1.8
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all 85/58/63
draw 23%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
bet $84
tr/day 4.3
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all 54/60/60
draw 87%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
12421
0x79e4…2841
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,402
tr/day 1.8
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 6%
Kalshi 100%
active 12d
bet $195
tr/day 1.2
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all 73/78/72
draw 74%
Kalshi 97%
active 1d
bet $213
tr/day 0.4
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 11d
bet $109
tr/day 0.1
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 12d
bet $232
tr/day 0.4
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/50/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
−$83 ·2🔓
ROI -22%
Net -29%
bet $117
tr/day 0.3
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/100/93
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 7d
bet $178
tr/day 0.3
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/60/87
draw 100%
Kalshi 87%
active 9d
bet $19
tr/day 2.7
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 15%
Kalshi 40%
active 0d
—
+$104 ·5🔓
ROI +37%
Net +24%
bet $403
tr/day 0.2
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/—/93
draw 33%
Kalshi 67%
active 12d
bet $467
tr/day 0.2
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/—/96
draw 2%
Kalshi 67%
active 12d
bet $19
tr/day 1.0
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/60/70
draw 100%
Kalshi 66%
active 5d
12432
0xe4e8…b071
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,556
tr/day 0.6
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 73%
active 0d
+$105 ·4🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $204
tr/day 0.6
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $254
tr/day 0.6
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
bet $195
tr/day 2.1
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/33/47
draw 88%
Kalshi 54%
active 12d
bet $138
tr/day 0.6
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 4d
bet $34
tr/day 0.6
WR 66%
WR 7/30/all 68/66/66
draw 63%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
12438
0x3f26…f0ae
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $2,012
tr/day 0.1
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 12d
bet $210
tr/day 0.1
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 12d
bet $100
tr/day 0.2
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/—/37
draw 10%
Kalshi 64%
active 12d
bet $304
tr/day 0.2
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all —/—/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 12d
bet $125
tr/day 0.1
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/100/89
draw 100%
Kalshi 63%
active 11d
bet $104
tr/day 0.1
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all —/—/83
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 12d
bet $204
tr/day 0.1
WR 19%
WR 7/30/all —/0/19
draw 2%
Kalshi 84%
active 10d
12445
0x0d02…a8e7
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $7,768
tr/day 0.2
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all —/—/83
draw 29%
Kalshi 92%
active 12d
12446
0x9c52…a9b7
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $561
tr/day 0.1
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/—/89
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 12d
12447
0x6b81…d603
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $542
tr/day 0.1
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/—/95
draw 88%
Kalshi 68%
active 12d
bet $445
tr/day 0.2
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/—/92
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 12d
bet $318
tr/day 2.9
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 12d
bet $63
tr/day 1.4
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/56/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 2d
#12401
negative
other
#12402
sports
#12403
negative
weather
#12404
negative
world
#12405
negative
world
#12406
negative
world
#12407
negative
crypto
#12408
negative
crypto
#12409
negative
other
#12410
negative
crypto
#12411
negative
crypto
#12412
negative
other
#12413
negative
sports
#12414
negative
other
#12415
negative
crypto
#12416
negative
other
#12417
negative
crypto
#12418
negative
culture
#12419
negative
sports
#12420
negative
crypto
#12421
crypto
#12422
negative
crypto
#12423
other
#12424
sports
#12425
negative
politics
#12426
negative
crypto
#12427
negative
world
#12428
—
borderline
other
#12429
negative
other
#12430
negative
sports
#12431
negative
politics
#12432
negative
crypto
#12433
negative
crypto
#12434
negative
crypto
#12435
negative
sports
#12436
negative
crypto
#12437
negative
crypto
#12438
crypto
#12439
negative
sports
#12440
negative
sports
#12441
negative
crypto
#12442
negative
other
#12443
negative
crypto
#12444
negative
sports
#12445
negative
world
#12446
negative
other
#12447
negative
sports
#12448
negative
sports
#12449
negative
sports
#12450
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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