trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -21.5% | -29.0% | 47% | 41% | +3.7% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 52% | 48% | +10.5% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -12.2% | -20.6% | 48% | 44% | +9.7% |
| all | 31 | -18.9% | -26.6% | 45% | 42% | +10.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -26.6% | 42% | +10.2% |
| 10% | -33.6% | 35% | -0.3% |
| 15% | -40.0% | 35% | -9.9% |
| 20% | -45.9% | 26% | -18.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5 | Over | 61¢ | 60¢ | $92 | $91 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | Over | 44¢ | 42¢ | $66 | $64 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 | Over | 41¢ | 40¢ | $61 | $61 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $24 | $17 | −$7 (-30%) |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $17 | $16 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 | Jun 25 | $119 | +$81 | +67% |
| Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5 | Jun 25 | $34 | +$5 | +14% |
| Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5 | Jun 25 | $24 | +$26 | +109% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $61 | +$34 | +56% |
| Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5 | Jun 25 | $12 | +$18 | +146% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $84 | −$83 | -99% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $206 | +$94 | +46% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $9 | −$8 | -97% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $12 | −$12 | -97% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $7 | −$7 | -97% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $292 | +$28 | +10% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $9 | −$9 | -97% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $11 | −$11 | -97% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $267 | +$32 | +12% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $16 | −$4 | -25% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5 | Jun 20 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $127 | +$72 | +57% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 | Jun 18 | $49 | +$50 | +102% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $22 | −$22 | -97% |
| Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference? | Jun 17 | $4 | +$6 | +163% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 16 | $130 | +$56 | +43% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Apr 13 | $164 | $0 | -0% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Mar 30 | $36 | −$5 | -13% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Mar 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | Mar 24 | $45 | +$34 | +76% |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference? | Mar 18 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Powell say "China" during March press conference? | Mar 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17? | Mar 18 | $69 | +$31 | +45% |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Mar 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |