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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $152
tr/day 2.0
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 60/60/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
14002
0x1b85…2b34
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $1,981
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
+$254 ·1🔓
ROI +1%
Net -13%
bet $50
tr/day 0.1
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/69
draw 39%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
14004
0x355d…1068
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $1,015
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 79%
active 0d
+$156 ·1🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
14005
0x0f7e…378c
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $991
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
+$110 ·1🔓
ROI +1%
Net -13%
bet $15
tr/day 1.3
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all 60/60/63
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$129 ·35🔓
ROI -10%
Net -19%
14007
0xdb8e…3854
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $1,144
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 78%
active 0d
+$180 ·1🔓
ROI +1%
Net -13%
bet $9
tr/day 5.6
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all 77/65/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
14009
0x5727…ae78
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,377
tr/day 1.0
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/—/96
draw 0%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $177
tr/day 0.1
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/—/96
draw 15%
Kalshi 75%
active 0d
14011
0x9e9f…1d38
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $4,803
tr/day 1.4
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/60/75
draw 1%
Kalshi 62%
active 0d
bet $340
tr/day 0.3
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/17/25
draw 100%
Kalshi 76%
active 0d
14013
0x48f3…75ce
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $658
tr/day 1.7
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$226 ·2🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $131
tr/day 0.2
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/—/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 0d
−$174 ·1🔓
ROI -7%
Net -16%
bet $76
tr/day 0.1
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/71
draw 95%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
14016
0x0e20…c470
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $2,231
tr/day 0.5
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/—/96
draw 0%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
bet $235
tr/day 0.2
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/—/54
draw 27%
Kalshi 77%
active 0d
bet $214
tr/day 0.5
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/40/39
draw 29%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
14019
0x1f48…7aed
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $9
tr/day 14.7
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all 80/80/80
draw 34%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $185
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
bet $65
tr/day 0.8
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 77/77/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
bet $17
tr/day 0.2
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/80/81
draw 66%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
14023
0xa42f…65f5
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,472
tr/day 0.4
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/—/90
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
+$338 ·2🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
bet $280
tr/day 0.3
WR 32%
WR 7/30/all —/—/32
draw 90%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
bet $397
tr/day 0.4
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/62
draw 6%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
14026
0x580b…72a3
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,369
tr/day 0.4
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/—/93
draw 2%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
+$329 ·1🔓
ROI +1%
Net -12%
14027
0x27a0…fc16
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $14
tr/day 9.4
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all 61/61/61
draw 66%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $281
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
bet $179
tr/day 0.6
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/100/89
draw 24%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
+$166 ·1🔓
ROI -1%
Net -10%
14030
0xf58f…3c6d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $810
tr/day 0.4
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/—/95
draw 72%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
bet $36
tr/day 0.6
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all 38/39/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 0d
−$348 ·1🔓
ROI -7%
Net -16%
14032
0x7e8a…61c3
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche other
bet $98
tr/day 21.7
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all 73/73/73
draw 37%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
+$247 ·5🔓
ROI +200%
Net +131%
14033
0xd6a7…6356
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $507
tr/day 0.7
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
+$247 ·4🔓
ROI +1%
Net -12%
bet $391
tr/day 0.2
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/—/90
draw 5%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
bet $435
tr/day 0.2
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/—/88
draw 8%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
bet $355
tr/day 0.5
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/80/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 0d
bet $479
tr/day 0.1
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all —/—/93
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
14038
0x5018…6108
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $1,015
tr/day 0.2
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/86/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 0d
bet $118
tr/day 0.8
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/57
draw 82%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $349
tr/day 0.1
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/—/91
draw 9%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
14041
0x0e6c…6025
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $109
tr/day 11.0
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all 40/40/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$103 ·3🔓
ROI +5%
Net -13%
bet $332
tr/day 0.2
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/—/89
draw 7%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
14043
0x9771…5a0a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $6,467
tr/day 0.6
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/—/72
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
14044
0x1a73…94d1
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $530
tr/day 1.0
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/—/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
bet $49
tr/day 1.3
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all 83/63/68
draw 69%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
+$508 ·3🔓
ROI -5%
Net -14%
bet $212
tr/day 1.6
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 44/44/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
−$1K ·2🔓
ROI -17%
Net -25%
14047
0xfea4…ae84
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $651
tr/day 0.0
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/—/94
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
bet $69
tr/day 5.3
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all 76/80/80
draw 45%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $385
tr/day 0.1
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/—/27
draw 10%
Kalshi 85%
active 0d
14050
0x3ce8…3cd9
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $3,881
tr/day 0.6
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/60/50
draw 43%
Kalshi 77%
active 0d
+$21K ·1🔓
ROI -0%
Net -18%
#14001
negative
crypto
#14002
negative
world
#14003
negative
crypto
#14004
negative
world
#14005
negative
world
#14006
negative
crypto
#14007
negative
world
#14008
negative
weather
#14009
negative
crypto
#14010
negative
other
#14011
negative
world
#14012
negative
world
#14013
negative
crypto
#14014
negative
sports
#14015
negative
crypto
#14016
negative
crypto
#14017
negative
sports
#14018
negative
world
#14019
thin data
sports
#14020
negative
crypto
#14021
negative
sports
#14022
negative
crypto
#14023
negative
crypto
#14024
negative
world
#14025
negative
sports
#14026
negative
crypto
#14027
negative
sports
#14028
negative
crypto
#14029
negative
crypto
#14030
negative
crypto
#14031
negative
sports
#14032
thin data
other
#14033
negative
crypto
#14034
negative
crypto
#14035
negative
crypto
#14036
negative
sports
#14037
negative
crypto
#14038
negative
world
#14039
negative
sports
#14040
negative
crypto
#14041
negative
weather
#14042
negative
crypto
#14043
negative
world
#14044
negative
sports
#14045
negative
sports
#14046
negative
sports
#14047
negative
crypto
#14048
negative
sports
#14049
negative
sports
#14050
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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