trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 100% | 10% | -4.9% |
| all | 21 | +1.0% | -8.7% | 95% | 5% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.7% | 5% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -17.4% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $81 | $81 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Solana dip to $20 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $170 in May? | Jun 06 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? | Jun 06 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May? | Jun 06 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | Jun 06 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $30 in April? | May 07 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $160 in April? | May 07 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | May 07 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April? | May 07 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in April? | May 07 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Apr 05 | $131 | +$21 | +16% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | Mar 21 | $35,090 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 13? | Mar 13 | $365 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | Mar 05 | $116 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | Feb 25 | $115 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 14? | Feb 15 | $115 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 1 | Feb 11 | $115 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6? | Feb 08 | $115 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 4 | Feb 05 | $115 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 3? | Feb 04 | $115 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 2? | Feb 03 | $114 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 02 | $114 | +$1 | +0% |