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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $115
tr/day 0.1
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/—/88
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 11d
bet $139
tr/day 0.1
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/75
draw 100%
Kalshi 87%
active 12d
bet $146
tr/day 1.2
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/100/97
draw 17%
Kalshi 98%
active 1d
bet $150
tr/day 1.2
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/100/97
draw 12%
Kalshi 98%
active 1d
bet $23
tr/day 0.1
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all —/—/84
draw 10%
Kalshi 76%
active 12d
bet $110
tr/day 0.1
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/81
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 11d
bet $484
tr/day 0.5
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 52%
active 1d
12208
0x5482…d034
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $703
tr/day 0.7
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/64/64
draw 84%
Kalshi 89%
active 1d
bet $108
tr/day 4.1
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/100/97
draw 8%
Kalshi 96%
active 11d
bet $144
tr/day 0.3
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 12d
bet $115
tr/day 0.1
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/—/82
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 11d
12212
0xafcf…72f6
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $20
tr/day 16.9
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all 79/67/70
draw 67%
Kalshi 85%
active 0d
+$574 ·3🔓
ROI +2%
Net -14%
bet $20
tr/day 0.1
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all —/—/83
draw 23%
Kalshi 85%
active 12d
12214
0x1d1c…f271
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $964
tr/day 1.3
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all 97/89/83
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
+$427 ·5🔓
ROI +4%
Net -10%
bet $138
tr/day 6.1
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 67/71/52
draw 94%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$213 ·2🔓
ROI -5%
Net -17%
bet $221
tr/day 0.2
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 11d
bet $126
tr/day 0.1
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/80
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 12d
12218
0x77a2…9497
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $15
tr/day 23.8
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all 67/77/77
draw 68%
Kalshi 100%
active 2d
bet $139
tr/day 0.7
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 67/53/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 0d
+$68 ·1🔓
ROI -13%
Net -22%
bet $20
tr/day 2.8
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/59/62
draw 60%
Kalshi 100%
active 10d
bet $125
tr/day 0.1
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/—/79
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 12d
bet $414
tr/day 0.2
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all —/—/31
draw 68%
Kalshi 77%
active 12d
bet $294
tr/day 0.3
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/29/15
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 8d
bet $91
tr/day 0.6
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 97%
Kalshi 84%
active 3d
+$1K ·8🔓
ROI -14%
Net -22%
bet $109
tr/day 0.5
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/42/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 10d
bet $321
tr/day 0.4
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/—/42
draw 42%
Kalshi 68%
active 12d
bet $180
tr/day 0.2
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/—/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 12d
bet $22
tr/day 0.1
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/—/87
draw 15%
Kalshi 94%
active 12d
bet $29
tr/day 1.5
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/33/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
−$113 ·9🔓
ROI -2%
Net -11%
bet $104
tr/day 0.1
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/—/77
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 12d
bet $362
tr/day 0.3
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/33/43
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 12d
bet $258
tr/day 0.4
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/33/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 12d
12233
0xe0dc…1904
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $633
tr/day 0.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 12d
bet $18
tr/day 0.3
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/—/88
draw 8%
Kalshi 57%
active 7d
bet $164
tr/day 0.8
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/94/92
draw 8%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
+$155 ·1🔓
ROI -2%
Net -11%
bet $110
tr/day 0.7
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all 80/95/94
draw 87%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
12237
0x0d3d…1e79
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,498
tr/day 0.6
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all —/80/83
draw 4%
Kalshi 85%
active 12d
bet $133
tr/day 2.5
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/33/33
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 10d
bet $21
tr/day 0.1
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/—/79
draw 8%
Kalshi 87%
active 11d
bet $43
tr/day 0.4
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/40/67
draw 68%
Kalshi 66%
active 2d
bet $30
tr/day 0.1
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/—/78
draw 7%
Kalshi 80%
active 12d
12242
0xdb9c…d949
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $781
tr/day 0.4
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/86/94
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 12d
bet $117
tr/day 0.1
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/73
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 12d
bet $20
tr/day 0.1
WR 85%
WR 7/30/all —/—/85
draw 21%
Kalshi 81%
active 12d
bet $158
tr/day 0.7
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/75/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 61%
active 8d
bet $100
tr/day 0.2
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/—/88
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 6d
bet $112
tr/day 0.1
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/—/82
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 12d
bet $120
tr/day 0.1
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all —/—/84
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 12d
bet $99
tr/day 2.0
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 82%
Kalshi 98%
active 12d
bet $59
tr/day 1.8
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/47/55
draw 93%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
#12201
negative
crypto
#12202
negative
crypto
#12203
negative
crypto
#12204
negative
crypto
#12205
negative
crypto
#12206
negative
crypto
#12207
negative
other
#12208
negative
world
#12209
negative
sports
#12210
sports
#12211
negative
crypto
#12212
negative
sports
#12213
negative
crypto
#12214
negative
sports
#12215
negative
crypto
#12216
negative
world
#12217
negative
crypto
#12218
negative
crypto
#12219
negative
sports
#12220
negative
crypto
#12221
negative
crypto
#12222
negative
world
#12223
negative
world
#12224
negative
sports
#12225
negative
sports
#12226
negative
world
#12227
negative
crypto
#12228
negative
crypto
#12229
negative
sports
#12230
negative
crypto
#12231
negative
world
#12232
negative
world
#12233
negative
politics
#12234
negative
other
#12235
negative
crypto
#12236
negative
crypto
#12237
negative
crypto
#12238
negative
sports
#12239
negative
crypto
#12240
negative
other
#12241
negative
crypto
#12242
negative
sports
#12243
negative
crypto
#12244
negative
crypto
#12245
negative
other
#12246
negative
crypto
#12247
negative
crypto
#12248
negative
crypto
#12249
trap
world
#12250
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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