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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $46
tr/day 1.7
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all 100/87/90
draw 62%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $108
tr/day 7.2
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/82/82
draw 72%
Kalshi 99%
active 4d
bet $108
tr/day 0.6
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/52/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 82%
active 11d
bet $352
tr/day 0.5
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/40/40
draw 24%
Kalshi 80%
active 20d
bet $178
tr/day 3.4
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/29/51
draw 22%
Kalshi 88%
active 1d
bet $313
tr/day 0.3
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/25/25
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 12d
bet $54
tr/day 1.5
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all 100/98/93
draw 23%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $273
tr/day 2.6
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all —/—/14
draw 100%
Kalshi 55%
active 28d
bet $395
tr/day 0.4
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/47
draw 42%
Kalshi 82%
active 22d
bet $1,622
tr/day 2.9
WR 18%
WR 7/30/all —/—/18
draw 59%
Kalshi 71%
active 28d
9511
0x2d5b…7744
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $592
tr/day 1.1
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/74/62
draw 100%
Kalshi 45%
active 0d
−$672 ·12🔓
ROI -1%
Net -14%
bet $135
tr/day 0.1
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/—/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 57%
active 20d
bet $117
tr/day 0.5
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/36/51
draw 52%
Kalshi 83%
active 20d
bet $180
tr/day 3.8
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 61/50/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$279 ·1🔓
ROI -1%
Net -14%
9515
0x99f9…e928
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $2,505
tr/day 1.8
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/44/43
draw 54%
Kalshi 79%
active 19d
bet $235
tr/day 1.4
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all 75/73/79
draw 68%
Kalshi 6%
active 0d
bet $161
tr/day 0.2
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/—/46
draw 35%
Kalshi 68%
active 17d
bet $156
tr/day 6.3
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all 61/68/63
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 0d
−$256 ·2🔓
ROI +0%
Net -13%
9519
0xc65e…3c8f
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $1,710
tr/day 0.7
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/50/58
draw 43%
Kalshi 67%
active 15d
bet $387
tr/day 2.7
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/89/94
draw 7%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
bet $53
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 74%
active 17d
9522
0xde1a…35ee
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $556
tr/day 0.1
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 72%
Kalshi 15%
active 21d
9523
0xb624…de17
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $2,354
tr/day 0.4
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/36/43
draw 54%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $254
tr/day 1.1
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/50/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 4d
−$2K ·1🔓
ROI -13%
Net -21%
bet $150
tr/day 0.2
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/60/36
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 17d
bet $186
tr/day 3.0
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all 78/67/55
draw 99%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
9527
0x7ec5…b9ac
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $2,463
tr/day 1.4
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/—/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 9d
bet $13
tr/day 0.2
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/71/46
draw 66%
Kalshi 90%
active 9d
bet $242
tr/day 2.6
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 69/44/50
draw 62%
Kalshi 89%
active 3d
bet $304
tr/day 0.2
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/45
draw 50%
Kalshi 60%
active 12d
bet $267
tr/day 2.5
WR 16%
WR 7/30/all —/25/16
draw 100%
Kalshi 48%
active 17d
bet $156
tr/day 2.4
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/3/12
draw 22%
Kalshi 73%
active 10d
bet $350
tr/day 0.2
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 17d
bet $117
tr/day 0.4
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 12d
bet $118
tr/day 0.6
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/60/56
draw 21%
Kalshi 79%
active 17d
bet $120
tr/day 4.1
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all 55/40/62
draw 74%
Kalshi 92%
active 0d
bet $158
tr/day 0.0
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/20/33
draw 38%
Kalshi 33%
active 18d
9538
0x0b4c…8304
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $548
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 68%
active 17d
bet $150
tr/day 0.4
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/52/44
draw 6%
Kalshi 73%
active 2d
+$2K ·14🔓
ROI -24%
Net -31%
bet $79
tr/day 1.1
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/58/59
draw 22%
Kalshi 98%
active 12d
9541
0x2c42…f95d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $505
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 60%
active 4d
bet $111
tr/day 1.3
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/54/40
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 17d
bet $187
tr/day 0.1
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/62
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 17d
bet $479
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 50%
active 4d
bet $312
tr/day 0.5
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/20/25
draw 22%
Kalshi 64%
active 9d
bet $71
tr/day 0.7
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/92/87
draw 18%
Kalshi 85%
active 1d
bet $180
tr/day 0.9
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all 11/45/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
9548
0x6d00…515b
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $221
tr/day 8.8
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/47/55
draw 85%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $138
tr/day 0.3
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 33%
active 17d
bet $106
tr/day 0.4
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 17d
#9501
negative
weather
#9502
negative
crypto
#9503
negative
sports
#9504
negative
world
#9505
negative
crypto
#9506
negative
world
#9507
negative
crypto
#9508
negative
other
#9509
negative
world
#9510
negative
politics
#9511
negative
other
#9512
negative
other
#9513
negative
sports
#9514
negative
sports
#9515
negative
sports
#9516
negative
other
#9517
negative
crypto
#9518
negative
sports
#9519
negative
sports
#9520
negative
weather
#9521
negative
tech
#9522
—
negative
other
#9523
negative
sports
#9524
negative
crypto
#9525
negative
crypto
#9526
trap
sports
#9527
negative
crypto
#9528
negative
sports
#9529
negative
sports
#9530
negative
other
#9531
negative
other
#9532
negative
politics
#9533
negative
crypto
#9534
negative
sports
#9535
negative
crypto
#9536
negative
sports
#9537
negative
other
#9538
negative
other
#9539
negative
sports
#9540
negative
crypto
#9541
negative
other
#9542
negative
sports
#9543
negative
politics
#9544
negative
other
#9545
negative
other
#9546
negative
finance
#9547
negative
sports
#9548
negative
crypto
#9549
other
#9550
politics
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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