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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $101
tr/day 1.0
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 40%
active 8d
bet $75
tr/day 1.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 62%
active 8d
bet $119
tr/day 0.0
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 96%
Kalshi 40%
active 8d
bet $131
tr/day 0.5
WR 26%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 34%
Kalshi 60%
active 9d
1855
0x4ee4…dcdf
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $653
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 7%
Kalshi 33%
active 8d
bet $298
tr/day 0.7
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 50%
Kalshi 72%
active 0d
bet $33
tr/day 0.1
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 65%
Kalshi 65%
active 0d
bet $214
tr/day 0.8
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 20%
Kalshi 83%
active 7d
bet $50
tr/day 0.9
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/56/56
draw 3%
Kalshi 64%
active 7d
bet $148
tr/day 0.9
WR 21%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 39%
Kalshi 32%
active 9d
bet $344
tr/day 1.9
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 78%
Kalshi 45%
active 0d
bet $32
tr/day 0.9
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 31%
Kalshi 20%
active 8d
1863
0x8e95…2880
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $776
tr/day 0.1
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 21%
Kalshi 91%
active 3d
1864
0xc300…f2e1
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $837
tr/day 0.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 8d
bet $1,400
tr/day 2.7
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 3%
Kalshi 86%
active 4d
bet $84
tr/day 2.4
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 37%
Kalshi 56%
active 0d
—
+$327 ·2🔓
ROI +37%
Net +24%
bet $18
tr/day 0.0
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 16%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $169
tr/day 0.9
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 20%
active 9d
bet $153
tr/day 1.0
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 62%
Kalshi 44%
active 0d
bet $28
tr/day 0.7
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 17%
Kalshi 42%
active 0d
—
+$605 ·1🔓
ROI +34%
Net +22%
bet $37
tr/day 2.7
WR 39%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 13%
Kalshi 15%
active 0d
—
+$650 ·3🔓
ROI +82%
Net +65%
bet $275
tr/day 0.2
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 61%
Kalshi 91%
active 4d
bet $24
tr/day 4.5
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 54%
Kalshi 65%
active 0d
—
+$547 ·4🔓
ROI +34%
Net +16%
bet $32
tr/day 3.2
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 29%
Kalshi 31%
active 0d
—
+$726 ·4🔓
ROI +25%
Net +9%
bet $46
tr/day 0.9
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 13%
Kalshi 46%
active 3d
bet $439
tr/day 0.6
WR 30%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 22%
Kalshi 0%
active 3d
bet $106
tr/day 2.0
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 28%
Kalshi 17%
active 3d
bet $12
tr/day 0.6
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 16%
Kalshi 0%
active 4d
bet $126
tr/day 1.1
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 7%
Kalshi 89%
active 4d
bet $23
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 21%
Kalshi 25%
active 4d
bet $77
tr/day 0.1
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 34%
Kalshi 14%
active 7d
bet $197
tr/day 0.0
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 39%
Kalshi 38%
active 0d
—
+$833 ·1🔓
ROI +84%
Net +66%
bet $13
tr/day 0.2
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 50%
Kalshi 55%
active 8d
bet $29
tr/day 2.6
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 4%
Kalshi 71%
active 4d
bet $140
tr/day 0.0
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 9d
bet $383
tr/day 0.1
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 9d
1887
0xc2e9…fc96
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche economics
bet $1,298
tr/day 0.2
WR 86%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 71%
active 8d
bet $10
tr/day 0.0
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 8%
Kalshi 50%
active 9d
bet $44
tr/day 0.2
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 75%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $384
tr/day 0.0
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 6%
Kalshi 25%
active 4d
bet $198
tr/day 0.5
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 26%
Kalshi 82%
active 8d
bet $117
tr/day 0.3
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 9%
Kalshi 75%
active 8d
bet $91
tr/day 0.3
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 24%
active 0d
—
+$309 ·2🔓
ROI +28%
Net +16%
bet $28
tr/day 3.4
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 7%
Kalshi 64%
active 9d
—
+$825
ROI +144%
Net +112%
bet $115
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 9d
bet $119
tr/day 0.9
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 6%
Kalshi 76%
active 0d
bet $130
tr/day 0.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 38%
Kalshi 86%
active 9d
bet $188
tr/day 3.0
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/50/50
draw 18%
Kalshi 76%
active 6d
bet $28
tr/day 0.2
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 13%
Kalshi 80%
active 9d
bet $290
tr/day 0.7
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 54%
Kalshi 64%
active 2d
#1851
other
#1852
sports
#1853
other
#1854
—
borderline
crypto
#1855
other
#1856
—
borderline
sports
#1857
—
borderline
other
#1858
sports
#1859
thin data
sports
#1860
—
borderline
other
#1861
—
borderline
other
#1862
other
#1863
world
#1864
other
#1865
sports
#1866
—
copyable
sports
#1867
sports
#1868
—
borderline
other
#1869
other
#1870
—
copyable
other
#1871
—
borderline
other
#1872
sports
#1873
—
borderline
crypto
#1874
—
copyable
other
#1875
—
borderline
other
#1876
other
#1877
other
#1878
other
#1879
sports
#1880
other
#1881
other
#1882
—
borderline
other
#1883
sports
#1884
sports
#1885
other
#1886
economics
#1887
economics
#1888
other
#1889
weather
#1890
other
#1891
world
#1892
world
#1893
—
copyable
other
#1894
—
borderline
sports
#1895
sports
#1896
—
borderline
world
#1897
sports
#1898
thin data
sports
#1899
crypto
#1900
other
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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