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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
12601
0xb04f…d000
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $5,232
tr/day 1.4
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/50/57
draw 86%
Kalshi 93%
active 13d
bet $111
tr/day 0.5
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all —/100/79
draw 100%
Kalshi 52%
active 5d
bet $581
tr/day 2.3
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 31/28/58
draw 90%
Kalshi 72%
active 0d
+$2K ·2🔓
ROI +23%
Net +11%
bet $174
tr/day 0.1
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/73
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 5d
bet $179
tr/day 0.1
WR 22%
WR 7/30/all —/0/22
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 11d
bet $110
tr/day 4.4
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 60/50/50
draw 73%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
12607
0x47f8…8ea6
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $766
tr/day 0.1
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 13d
bet $261
tr/day 1.4
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/100/95
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 6d
12609
0xf4c5…c8c1
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $199
tr/day 23.9
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all 51/65/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
−$578 ·3🔓
ROI +9%
Net -16%
12610
0x2d81…fe57
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche other
bet $141
tr/day 27.0
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all 53/63/61
draw 17%
Kalshi 79%
active 0d
+$6K ·41🔓
ROI +6%
Net -19%
bet $73
tr/day 1.5
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/100/94
draw 100%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
bet $302
tr/day 0.6
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all 67/67/61
draw 87%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
bet $1,612
tr/day 6.5
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all 64/48/47
draw 66%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
bet $272
tr/day 0.9
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/90
draw 2%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
+$187 ·1🔓
ROI -1%
Net -10%
bet $12
tr/day 5.5
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/42/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 51%
active 4d
bet $50
tr/day 3.9
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/27/62
draw 100%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
+$212 ·1🔓
ROI +2%
Net -11%
12617
0xa181…ece8
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche culture
bet $1,060
tr/day 0.6
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all —/—/78
draw 9%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
bet $23
tr/day 2.9
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 56/52/51
draw 61%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
bet $22
tr/day 0.7
WR 84%
WR 7/30/all 78/81/84
draw 81%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $33
tr/day 0.3
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all 82/85/80
draw 66%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $107
tr/day 2.9
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/80/80
draw 0%
Kalshi 86%
active 9d
bet $12
tr/day 6.7
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 7%
Kalshi 69%
active 6d
—
+$654 ·20🔓
ROI +79%
Net +56%
bet $36
tr/day 0.7
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/56
draw 87%
Kalshi 89%
active 13d
bet $21
tr/day 3.0
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all 61/57/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $165
tr/day 0.2
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/—/37
draw 2%
Kalshi 68%
active 13d
12626
0x234d…099e
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $843
tr/day 0.0
WR 5%
WR 7/30/all —/—/5
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 13d
bet $277
tr/day 0.3
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 13d
12628
0xb7e4…1e2f
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $759
tr/day 1.5
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/100/89
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 5d
12629
0xd261…9205
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,363
tr/day 0.6
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all —/71/82
draw 6%
Kalshi 85%
active 13d
bet $63
tr/day 1.0
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/50/75
draw 18%
Kalshi 62%
active 6d
+$489 ·8🔓
ROI +10%
Net -1%
bet $135
tr/day 1.3
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all 67/69/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
12632
0xef97…0998
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $4,022
tr/day 1.0
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 3%
Kalshi 100%
active 9d
bet $416
tr/day 2.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 82/64/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
−$20K ·9🔓
ROI -2%
Net -12%
bet $303
tr/day 0.7
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/12/43
draw 17%
Kalshi 79%
active 12d
bet $121
tr/day 0.8
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/92/71
draw 89%
Kalshi 76%
active 8d
bet $23
tr/day 3.1
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all 78/78/73
draw 100%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
bet $78
tr/day 0.8
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/67/61
draw 94%
Kalshi 73%
active 11d
bet $33
tr/day 3.4
WR 37%
WR 7/30/all —/73/37
draw 74%
Kalshi 77%
active 12d
bet $95
tr/day 0.3
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/100/97
draw 26%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $106
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
bet $121
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
12642
0x7d64…a5e5
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $673
tr/day 0.9
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/73
draw 2%
Kalshi 69%
active 6d
bet $125
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
bet $255
tr/day 0.5
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/86/99
draw 2%
Kalshi 98%
active 1d
bet $52
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 47%
active 13d
bet $108
tr/day 0.3
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/97
draw 28%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $74
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
bet $121
tr/day 1.2
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all 42/41/40
draw 84%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
+$1K ·3🔓
ROI -27%
Net -34%
bet $207
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 89%
active 13d
bet $124
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
#12601
negative
sports
#12602
negative
other
#12603
fragile wins
other
#12604
negative
economics
#12605
negative
sports
#12606
negative
sports
#12607
politics
#12608
negative
crypto
#12609
negative
sports
#12610
negative
other
#12611
negative
crypto
#12612
negative
crypto
#12613
negative
sports
#12614
negative
crypto
#12615
negative
sports
#12616
negative
crypto
#12617
negative
culture
#12618
negative
crypto
#12619
negative
sports
#12620
negative
sports
#12621
thin data
politics
#12622
—
borderline
tech
#12623
negative
sports
#12624
negative
sports
#12625
negative
other
#12626
negative
politics
#12627
negative
sports
#12628
negative
crypto
#12629
negative
crypto
#12630
negative
other
#12631
negative
crypto
#12632
crypto
#12633
negative
sports
#12634
negative
world
#12635
negative
politics
#12636
negative
sports
#12637
negative
sports
#12638
trap
crypto
#12639
negative
crypto
#12640
negative
crypto
#12641
negative
crypto
#12642
negative
other
#12643
negative
crypto
#12644
negative
crypto
#12645
negative
other
#12646
negative
crypto
#12647
negative
crypto
#12648
negative
sports
#12649
negative
crypto
#12650
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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