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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $19
tr/day 5.2
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all 100/96/98
draw 20%
Kalshi 73%
active 3d
bet $125
tr/day 1.4
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all 60/67/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 45%
active 0d
bet $24
tr/day 4.5
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 80/57/57
draw 41%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
11604
0x2185…b40c
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $105
tr/day 15.2
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 30/32/56
draw 89%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
+$8K ·11🔓
ROI +2%
Net -15%
bet $286
tr/day 0.1
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/—/58
draw 93%
Kalshi 87%
active 11d
bet $208
tr/day 0.3
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all 86/69/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
+$219 ·14🔓
ROI -29%
Net -36%
11607
0x7a22…fca9
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $74
tr/day 8.6
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 67/56/56
draw 71%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
+$919 ·9🔓
ROI +6%
Net -12%
bet $147
tr/day 3.8
WR 63%
WR 7/30/all —/—/63
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 1d
+$665 ·15🔓
ROI +9%
Net -6%
bet $123
tr/day 4.4
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all 42/47/43
draw 89%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
bet $137
tr/day 0.1
WR 23%
WR 7/30/all —/6/23
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 7d
bet $335
tr/day 0.3
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 33%
active 11d
11612
0xa16b…ae85
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $836
tr/day 0.1
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 0%
active 11d
11613
0xe624…2928
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $49
tr/day 23.6
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all 18/27/46
draw 37%
Kalshi 75%
active 0d
bet $364
tr/day 1.0
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/71/29
draw 100%
Kalshi 85%
active 11d
+$467 ·3🔓
ROI -35%
Net -41%
bet $393
tr/day 0.5
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/—/98
draw 2%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
bet $116
tr/day 6.4
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 67/57/57
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
bet $121
tr/day 1.9
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 20/45/49
draw 100%
Kalshi 18%
active 2d
bet $103
tr/day 0.3
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/100/89
draw 11%
Kalshi 82%
active 11d
bet $241
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 11d
11620
0x8f46…b41e
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $577
tr/day 0.3
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/100/97
draw 0%
Kalshi 97%
active 11d
bet $62
tr/day 0.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 12d
11622
0x3c2e…9240
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $974
tr/day 0.4
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all 40/33/75
draw 57%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
bet $131
tr/day 1.2
WR 98%
WR 7/30/all —/100/98
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
bet $33
tr/day 1.6
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/47/48
draw 30%
Kalshi 87%
active 6d
bet $176
tr/day 0.1
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/—/94
draw 0%
Kalshi 89%
active 11d
bet $176
tr/day 0.1
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/—/94
draw 0%
Kalshi 83%
active 11d
bet $177
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 89%
active 11d
bet $177
tr/day 0.1
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/—/94
draw 0%
Kalshi 94%
active 11d
bet $139
tr/day 2.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $267
tr/day 2.2
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 71/78/57
draw 32%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
+$14K ·12🔓
ROI +7%
Net -3%
bet $143
tr/day 0.1
WR 91%
WR 7/30/all —/—/91
draw 57%
Kalshi 76%
active 11d
bet $230
tr/day 3.1
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all 60/43/57
draw 75%
Kalshi 99%
active 1d
bet $320
tr/day 0.3
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/—/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 2d
bet $178
tr/day 0.9
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/96
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
bet $139
tr/day 0.2
WR 32%
WR 7/30/all —/—/32
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 11d
−$2K ·2🔓
ROI -26%
Net -33%
bet $297
tr/day 0.3
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/50
draw 14%
Kalshi 75%
active 11d
bet $221
tr/day 0.2
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/—/51
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 11d
−$109 ·1🔓
ROI -10%
Net -19%
bet $131
tr/day 0.1
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 74%
active 11d
11639
0xf9b0…a817
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche world
bet $244
tr/day 12.4
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all 72/80/76
draw 1%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
bet $128
tr/day 0.1
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 52%
active 8d
bet $324
tr/day 0.7
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/33
draw 12%
Kalshi 83%
active 11d
11642
0xef99…0b4e
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $842
tr/day 0.3
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/100/90
draw 2%
Kalshi 23%
active 6d
bet $302
tr/day 0.9
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all —/29/31
draw 24%
Kalshi 85%
active 11d
11644
0xe36a…6a85
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $10
tr/day 28.3
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all 57/62/65
draw 54%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
11645
0x2216…aecc
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $9
tr/day 32.6
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all 62/65/65
draw 56%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $246
tr/day 0.2
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/—/94
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 11d
bet $122
tr/day 1.0
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all 77/72/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $360
tr/day 0.3
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/50
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 11d
bet $21
tr/day 1.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $17
tr/day 0.6
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all 56/47/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 3d
+$44 ·4🔓
ROI -10%
Net -19%
#11601
fragile wins
crypto
#11602
negative
other
#11603
negative
sports
#11604
negative
sports
#11605
negative
politics
#11606
negative
world
#11607
negative
sports
#11608
negative
other
#11609
negative
sports
#11610
negative
sports
#11611
other
#11612
other
#11613
negative
sports
#11614
negative
crypto
#11615
negative
crypto
#11616
negative
sports
#11617
negative
other
#11618
negative
crypto
#11619
negative
tech
#11620
negative
crypto
#11621
politics
#11622
negative
crypto
#11623
negative
weather
#11624
negative
sports
#11625
negative
crypto
#11626
negative
crypto
#11627
negative
crypto
#11628
negative
crypto
#11629
negative
weather
#11630
negative
crypto
#11631
negative
other
#11632
negative
sports
#11633
negative
world
#11634
negative
crypto
#11635
negative
crypto
#11636
negative
world
#11637
negative
crypto
#11638
negative
politics
#11639
borderline
world
#11640
negative
other
#11641
negative
world
#11642
negative
other
#11643
negative
world
#11644
negative
crypto
#11645
negative
crypto
#11646
negative
tech
#11647
negative
weather
#11648
negative
world
#11649
negative
weather
#11650
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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