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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $268
tr/day 0.4
WR 24%
WR 7/30/all —/—/24
draw 66%
Kalshi 71%
active 21d
bet $16
tr/day 2.8
WR 26%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 20%
active 0d
—
+$222 ·1🔓
ROI +27%
Net +15%
bet $288
tr/day 0.4
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/25
draw 32%
Kalshi 74%
active 21d
bet $306
tr/day 0.6
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all —/—/14
draw 100%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
bet $549
tr/day 7.5
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all 71/65/72
draw 100%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
bet $236
tr/day 0.5
WR 22%
WR 7/30/all —/—/22
draw 51%
Kalshi 71%
active 21d
bet $295
tr/day 0.6
WR 23%
WR 7/30/all —/20/23
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 0d
bet $245
tr/day 2.1
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/—/12
draw 43%
Kalshi 68%
active 21d
bet $165
tr/day 1.5
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/—/12
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 21d
bet $226
tr/day 0.5
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 2d
bet $131
tr/day 3.7
WR 54%
WR 7/30/all —/53/54
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 6d
bet $9
tr/day 6.4
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/45/51
draw 90%
Kalshi 100%
active 3d
bet $162
tr/day 0.2
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/—/89
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 3d
−$305 ·1🔓
ROI -4%
Net -13%
bet $282
tr/day 0.7
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all —/33/14
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 2d
bet $139
tr/day 0.1
WR 87%
WR 7/30/all —/—/87
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 0d
−$241 ·3🔓
ROI -8%
Net -17%
bet $13
tr/day 4.1
WR 28%
WR 7/30/all 33/18/28
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
bet $218
tr/day 2.4
WR 7%
WR 7/30/all —/0/7
draw 47%
Kalshi 61%
active 20d
bet $244
tr/day 0.5
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/20/20
draw 58%
Kalshi 65%
active 21d
bet $297
tr/day 1.7
WR 15%
WR 7/30/all —/0/15
draw 34%
Kalshi 61%
active 21d
15670
0x728c…3a79
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $120
tr/day 9.0
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 21d
bet $390
tr/day 1.4
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all 80/50/42
draw 83%
Kalshi 67%
active 2d
bet $128
tr/day 1.6
WR 13%
WR 7/30/all —/—/13
draw 38%
Kalshi 62%
active 20d
bet $169
tr/day 0.1
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/—/94
draw 100%
Kalshi 74%
active 4d
−$179 ·2🔓
ROI -5%
Net -14%
bet $262
tr/day 2.6
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/97
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
15675
0x1f06…753b
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $580
tr/day 0.3
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/55/65
draw 18%
Kalshi 92%
active 22d
bet $187
tr/day 0.6
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all 33/37/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 2d
bet $129
tr/day 1.6
WR 12%
WR 7/30/all —/0/12
draw 48%
Kalshi 62%
active 21d
bet $175
tr/day 1.7
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 25%
active 20d
bet $480
tr/day 0.3
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/—/89
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 21d
bet $279
tr/day 2.6
WR 9%
WR 7/30/all —/0/9
draw 79%
Kalshi 66%
active 21d
bet $76
tr/day 0.1
WR 38%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 20d
bet $20
tr/day 4.2
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/55/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 76%
active 15d
bet $265
tr/day 1.0
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $147
tr/day 0.8
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all 76/60/56
draw 100%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $353
tr/day 0.7
WR 7%
WR 7/30/all —/0/7
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
bet $265
tr/day 0.8
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/29
draw 100%
Kalshi 43%
active 3d
bet $237
tr/day 1.0
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/100/95
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
bet $256
tr/day 0.5
WR 22%
WR 7/30/all —/—/22
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 21d
bet $330
tr/day 0.7
WR 23%
WR 7/30/all —/0/23
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $14
tr/day 3.5
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 43%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $79
tr/day 0.5
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/100/97
draw 1%
Kalshi 99%
active 2d
bet $370
tr/day 0.3
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/100/90
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 0d
bet $39
tr/day 2.0
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/59/58
draw 70%
Kalshi 79%
active 21d
bet $102
tr/day 0.2
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all —/—/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 4d
bet $220
tr/day 0.1
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 21d
bet $128
tr/day 1.0
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/40/43
draw 98%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
bet $69
tr/day 2.2
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/92/96
draw 24%
Kalshi 85%
active 2d
15698
0xfc5f…6219
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $151
tr/day 16.9
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/71/71
draw 100%
Kalshi 86%
active 12d
15699
0x3360…20ba
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $748
tr/day 0.5
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/80/73
draw 18%
Kalshi 83%
active 8d
bet $121
tr/day 7.6
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all 36/43/42
draw 100%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
#15651
negative
politics
#15652
—
borderline
other
#15653
negative
politics
#15654
negative
world
#15655
negative
sports
#15656
negative
other
#15657
negative
world
#15658
negative
politics
#15659
negative
politics
#15660
world
#15661
negative
crypto
#15662
negative
crypto
#15663
negative
crypto
#15664
negative
world
#15665
negative
crypto
#15666
negative
sports
#15667
negative
other
#15668
negative
other
#15669
negative
other
#15670
sports
#15671
negative
sports
#15672
negative
other
#15673
negative
crypto
#15674
negative
crypto
#15675
negative
sports
#15676
negative
sports
#15677
negative
other
#15678
other
#15679
negative
sports
#15680
negative
politics
#15681
sports
#15682
negative
sports
#15683
politics
#15684
negative
sports
#15685
negative
world
#15686
negative
other
#15687
negative
crypto
#15688
negative
politics
#15689
negative
world
#15690
—
borderline
crypto
#15691
negative
crypto
#15692
negative
crypto
#15693
negative
sports
#15694
negative
crypto
#15695
other
#15696
negative
tech
#15697
negative
crypto
#15698
negative
sports
#15699
negative
crypto
#15700
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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