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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
12851
0x1aea…dcc8
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $534
tr/day 0.4
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/40
draw 17%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
12852
0x492c…d12b
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $891
tr/day 1.2
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all 89/85/89
draw 15%
Kalshi 79%
active 0d
+$451 ·2🔓
ROI -3%
Net -16%
bet $54
tr/day 0.8
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all 55/50/40
draw 97%
Kalshi 56%
active 0d
12854
0x73cf…1dfc
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $527
tr/day 0.4
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/40
draw 44%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $140
tr/day 1.8
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $376
tr/day 0.7
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/40/40
draw 25%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
bet $263
tr/day 0.1
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 4%
Kalshi 93%
active 7d
12858
0xc099…923e
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $49
tr/day 9.0
WR 79%
WR 7/30/all 74/79/79
draw 15%
Kalshi 68%
active 0d
bet $132
tr/day 0.9
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 17/48/50
draw 95%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
+$148 ·1🔓
ROI -12%
Net -21%
12860
0x5581…c872
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $501
tr/day 0.6
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/80/72
draw 100%
Kalshi 58%
active 0d
−$144 ·1🔓
ROI -8%
Net -20%
bet $400
tr/day 0.1
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/—/90
draw 4%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
bet $1,084
tr/day 2.5
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 86/56/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
+$835 ·2🔓
ROI -1%
Net -14%
bet $10
tr/day 4.6
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all 46/48/48
draw 42%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
bet $182
tr/day 0.1
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/—/95
draw 6%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
bet $97
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $106
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $130
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $119
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $107
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $130
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $111
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $114
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $120
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
12874
0x8d88…22fe
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $656
tr/day 0.2
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 14%
Kalshi 44%
active 0d
+$275 ·1🔓
ROI -8%
Net -20%
bet $119
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $131
tr/day 0.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $118
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $19
tr/day 0.1
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/83/80
draw 23%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $17
tr/day 0.1
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/100/68
draw 100%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
bet $137
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 54%
active 0d
bet $261
tr/day 2.6
WR 46%
WR 7/30/all 40/28/46
draw 100%
Kalshi 54%
active 0d
bet $200
tr/day 0.6
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all —/62/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
−$2K ·1🔓
ROI -12%
Net -21%
bet $457
tr/day 0.7
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
bet $408
tr/day 1.6
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
bet $386
tr/day 0.5
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/100/97
draw 12%
Kalshi 89%
active 0d
bet $408
tr/day 0.9
WR 97%
WR 7/30/all —/—/97
draw 15%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
bet $275
tr/day 1.6
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/100/73
draw 22%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
12888
0x175b…93ae
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $827
tr/day 1.5
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
−$97K ·3🔓
ROI +1%
Net -12%
bet $999
tr/day 4.1
WR 61%
WR 7/30/all 75/66/61
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $111
tr/day 0.2
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/56/56
draw 51%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
+$926 ·2🔓
ROI -9%
Net -18%
bet $95
tr/day 0.9
WR 53%
WR 7/30/all 32/55/53
draw 84%
Kalshi 98%
active 0d
12892
0xa563…2bec
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $677
tr/day 0.4
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/60
draw 35%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
12893
0x4081…6e7d
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $665
tr/day 0.3
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 9%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
12894
0x70b8…9840
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $681
tr/day 0.0
WR 11%
WR 7/30/all —/—/11
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 0d
bet $42
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 64%
active 0d
12896
0x02ce…02d0
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $674
tr/day 0.4
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/62
draw 34%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $34
tr/day 0.8
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/80/60
draw 27%
Kalshi 58%
active 0d
+$981 ·5🔓
ROI -2%
Net -12%
12898
0xd0f4…9570
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $609
tr/day 0.2
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 75%
Kalshi 54%
active 0d
+$97 ·2🔓
ROI -21%
Net -31%
bet $318
tr/day 0.4
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/88
draw 5%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
12900
0x78ee…bf4e
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $31
tr/day 14.5
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all 72/72/72
draw 45%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
#12851
negative
world
#12852
negative
crypto
#12853
negative
world
#12854
negative
world
#12855
sports
#12856
negative
world
#12857
—
edge dead
sports
#12858
negative
sports
#12859
negative
sports
#12860
negative
other
#12861
negative
crypto
#12862
negative
sports
#12863
negative
sports
#12864
negative
other
#12865
negative
crypto
#12866
negative
crypto
#12867
negative
crypto
#12868
negative
crypto
#12869
negative
crypto
#12870
negative
crypto
#12871
negative
crypto
#12872
negative
crypto
#12873
negative
crypto
#12874
negative
other
#12875
negative
crypto
#12876
negative
crypto
#12877
negative
crypto
#12878
negative
world
#12879
negative
world
#12880
negative
other
#12881
negative
other
#12882
negative
sports
#12883
sports
#12884
negative
weather
#12885
negative
crypto
#12886
negative
crypto
#12887
negative
tech
#12888
negative
sports
#12889
negative
sports
#12890
negative
sports
#12891
negative
sports
#12892
negative
crypto
#12893
negative
crypto
#12894
negative
politics
#12895
negative
other
#12896
negative
crypto
#12897
negative
other
#12898
negative
other
#12899
negative
sports
#12900
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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