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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $432
tr/day 0.4
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 70%
Kalshi 73%
active 5d
+$903 ·3🔓
ROI -5%
Net -14%
bet $82
tr/day 0.9
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $61
tr/day 2.6
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all 21/22/43
draw 41%
Kalshi 58%
active 0d
12704
0xf7cd…2674
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $2,900
tr/day 0.1
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all 58/58/62
draw 4%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$61K ·1🔓
ROI +10%
Net -10%
bet $58
tr/day 1.6
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 60/50/50
draw 4%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
12706
0xd7c3…c034
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche world
bet $1,282
tr/day 0.4
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
+$282 ·1🔓
ROI +1%
Net -12%
bet $30
tr/day 1.5
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/80/64
draw 100%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
bet $198
tr/day 6.7
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all 36/62/73
draw 8%
Kalshi 73%
active 0d
12709
0x411b…5e9f
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $611
tr/day 0.0
WR 70%
WR 7/30/all —/—/70
draw 100%
Kalshi 57%
active 0d
12710
0xc4b6…41a7
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $584
tr/day 1.5
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/—/48
draw 100%
Kalshi 78%
active 0d
−$9K ·6🔓
ROI -11%
Net -23%
12711
0x9b94…9c0d
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $189
tr/day 19.6
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all 60/59/59
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $2,266
tr/day 6.7
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/68/72
draw 17%
Kalshi 75%
active 0d
+$84K ·45🔓
ROI +7%
Net -16%
bet $254
tr/day 0.4
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all 67/57/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 77%
active 0d
12714
0xc85b…ba1b
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $31
tr/day 16.7
WR 78%
WR 7/30/all 82/78/78
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$132 ·17🔓
ROI +5%
Net -12%
bet $35
tr/day 1.2
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all 46/46/47
draw 50%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $4
tr/day 0.4
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 69%
active 0d
12717
0x34e3…524a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $517
tr/day 0.1
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/—/77
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 0d
−$1K ·2🔓
ROI -15%
Net -26%
bet $211
tr/day 2.0
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 52/52/49
draw 63%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $5
tr/day 0.4
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 76%
active 0d
bet $140
tr/day 0.8
WR 52%
WR 7/30/all 48/53/52
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
−$387 ·3🔓
ROI -2%
Net -12%
12721
0x1c58…7aeb
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $604
tr/day 0.7
WR 58%
WR 7/30/all —/60/58
draw 100%
Kalshi 70%
active 0d
+$602 ·2🔓
ROI +10%
Net -4%
bet $290
tr/day 3.9
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/67
draw 100%
Kalshi 97%
active 0d
bet $36
tr/day 2.2
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all 100/87/60
draw 15%
Kalshi 62%
active 0d
+$609 ·1🔓
ROI -0%
Net -10%
12724
0x99d6…513f
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $399
tr/day 51.0
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all 71/71/71
draw 73%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$551 ·18🔓
ROI +41%
Net +9%
12725
0xefa5…24a6
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche tech
bet $1,938
tr/day 0.5
WR 89%
WR 7/30/all —/—/89
draw 21%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
+$5K ·1🔓
ROI +28%
Net +11%
bet $43
tr/day 0.7
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/38/33
draw 28%
Kalshi 43%
active 0d
+$315 ·10🔓
ROI -40%
Net -46%
bet $369
tr/day 0.4
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/—/55
draw 18%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
+$176 ·1🔓
ROI -2%
Net -11%
bet $17
tr/day 1.0
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all 83/71/71
draw 32%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
bet $307
tr/day 0.6
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all 40/43/59
draw 16%
Kalshi 78%
active 0d
bet $389
tr/day 0.3
WR 31%
WR 7/30/all —/20/31
draw 100%
Kalshi 79%
active 0d
−$291 ·1🔓
ROI -14%
Net -23%
bet $418
tr/day 0.3
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 95%
Kalshi 87%
active 0d
bet $111
tr/day 0.3
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all —/—/35
draw 98%
Kalshi 84%
active 0d
12733
0x14a9…98b0
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $533
tr/day 0.7
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all 40/57/82
draw 27%
Kalshi 95%
active 0d
bet $111
tr/day 1.8
WR 59%
WR 7/30/all —/54/59
draw 44%
Kalshi 26%
active 0d
bet $179
tr/day 0.6
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all —/100/83
draw 11%
Kalshi 33%
active 0d
+$78 ·1🔓
ROI -13%
Net -21%
12736
0x035d…5a61
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $4,378
tr/day 0.1
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/—/65
draw 100%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
bet $368
tr/day 0.0
WR 72%
WR 7/30/all —/—/72
draw 100%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
bet $397
tr/day 0.2
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all —/—/96
draw 0%
Kalshi 85%
active 0d
12739
0xcf73…7d25
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,473
tr/day 0.6
WR 85%
WR 7/30/all —/—/85
draw 4%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
+$263 ·2🔓
ROI +1%
Net -13%
12740
0x51e8…d101
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $700
tr/day 0.1
WR 77%
WR 7/30/all —/—/77
draw 100%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
+$732 ·1🔓
ROI -2%
Net -15%
12741
0x2e9d…e9f4
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche weather
bet $361
tr/day 41.4
WR 96%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/96
draw 1%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
12742
0x78f0…93c9
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche crypto
bet $23
tr/day 9.5
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all 81/72/64
draw 28%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
+$418 ·1🔓
ROI +3%
Net -14%
12743
0x16b1…a61a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche tech
bet $1,054
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $21
tr/day 1.4
WR 74%
WR 7/30/all —/67/74
draw 78%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
bet $307
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
bet $206
tr/day 0.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/100
draw 0%
Kalshi 63%
active 0d
bet $131
tr/day 0.8
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all 22/23/41
draw 100%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $276
tr/day 0.2
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/67/68
draw 44%
Kalshi 81%
active 0d
bet $146
tr/day 0.9
WR 42%
WR 7/30/all —/60/42
draw 81%
Kalshi 41%
active 0d
+$208 ·3🔓
ROI -27%
Net -34%
12750
0x14fa…f45c
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,366
tr/day 0.2
WR 90%
WR 7/30/all —/100/90
draw 8%
Kalshi 65%
active 0d
#12701
negative
other
#12702
negative
crypto
#12703
negative
sports
#12704
negative
crypto
#12705
negative
crypto
#12706
negative
world
#12707
negative
politics
#12708
negative
world
#12709
negative
other
#12710
negative
sports
#12711
negative
sports
#12712
negative
politics
#12713
negative
crypto
#12714
negative
weather
#12715
negative
crypto
#12716
negative
other
#12717
negative
politics
#12718
negative
sports
#12719
negative
tech
#12720
negative
sports
#12721
negative
sports
#12722
negative
crypto
#12723
negative
sports
#12724
thin data
sports
#12725
one-bet luck
tech
#12726
negative
other
#12727
negative
world
#12728
negative
crypto
#12729
negative
world
#12730
negative
world
#12731
negative
world
#12732
negative
sports
#12733
negative
crypto
#12734
negative
other
#12735
negative
other
#12736
negative
politics
#12737
negative
other
#12738
negative
crypto
#12739
negative
crypto
#12740
negative
politics
#12741
negative
weather
#12742
negative
crypto
#12743
negative
tech
#12744
negative
sports
#12745
negative
crypto
#12746
negative
other
#12747
negative
sports
#12748
negative
crypto
#12749
negative
other
#12750
negative
crypto
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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