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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $235
tr/day 1.0
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 47%
active 11d
bet $115
tr/day 0.1
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/—/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 80%
active 11d
bet $389
tr/day 0.3
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/50
draw 14%
Kalshi 79%
active 2d
bet $297
tr/day 0.2
WR 8%
WR 7/30/all —/0/8
draw 70%
Kalshi 85%
active 0d
bet $53
tr/day 1.0
WR 93%
WR 7/30/all 100/94/93
draw 6%
Kalshi 98%
active 1d
bet $150
tr/day 0.5
WR 92%
WR 7/30/all —/83/92
draw 21%
Kalshi 86%
active 0d
+$242 ·9🔓
ROI -1%
Net -10%
bet $114
tr/day 3.0
WR 35%
WR 7/30/all —/36/35
draw 69%
Kalshi 72%
active 9d
bet $448
tr/day 0.3
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 33%
active 11d
bet $313
tr/day 0.6
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/17/29
draw 72%
Kalshi 79%
active 0d
bet $378
tr/day 0.5
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all 20/11/17
draw 3%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $324
tr/day 0.3
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 11d
bet $180
tr/day 1.0
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/17/33
draw 95%
Kalshi 75%
active 11d
bet $232
tr/day 0.1
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/100/95
draw 36%
Kalshi 83%
active 1d
11514
0x6919…30a2
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $789
tr/day 0.1
WR 13%
WR 7/30/all —/—/13
draw 100%
Kalshi 81%
active 11d
bet $426
tr/day 0.1
WR 18%
WR 7/30/all —/—/18
draw 100%
Kalshi 39%
active 11d
bet $127
tr/day 0.2
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/47
draw 100%
Kalshi 72%
active 4d
bet $69
tr/day 1.6
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all 56/65/75
draw 97%
Kalshi 58%
active 2d
bet $92
tr/day 1.8
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all 100/100/95
draw 66%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $12
tr/day 1.6
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all —/100/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $22
tr/day 0.0
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/—/88
draw 100%
Kalshi 83%
active 11d
bet $485
tr/day 0.0
WR 23%
WR 7/30/all —/—/23
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 11d
bet $430
tr/day 0.3
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/—/68
draw 34%
Kalshi 68%
active 11d
11523
0x5ba9…2172
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $619
tr/day 0.0
WR 17%
WR 7/30/all —/—/17
draw 100%
Kalshi 62%
active 11d
11524
0x9085…da6b
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,047
tr/day 0.3
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/96/95
draw 7%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
11525
0x1e46…55da
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $669
tr/day 0.0
WR 21%
WR 7/30/all —/—/21
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 11d
bet $250
tr/day 2.6
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/57/57
draw 47%
Kalshi 91%
active 1d
11527
0x31bc…c0b5
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $636
tr/day 0.1
WR 8%
WR 7/30/all —/—/8
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 11d
bet $317
tr/day 0.1
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/44
draw 100%
Kalshi 71%
active 5d
bet $315
tr/day 0.3
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all 100/78/83
draw 75%
Kalshi 59%
active 11d
bet $150
tr/day 1.3
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all 60/39/36
draw 75%
Kalshi 53%
active 0d
bet $114
tr/day 0.4
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/57/48
draw 19%
Kalshi 94%
active 11d
bet $289
tr/day 0.3
WR 82%
WR 7/30/all 100/78/82
draw 61%
Kalshi 62%
active 11d
bet $285
tr/day 0.3
WR 83%
WR 7/30/all 100/78/83
draw 86%
Kalshi 61%
active 11d
bet $442
tr/day 0.2
WR 95%
WR 7/30/all —/100/95
draw 7%
Kalshi 21%
active 1d
bet $32
tr/day 0.1
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/—/65
draw 52%
Kalshi 84%
active 11d
+$49 ·2🔓
ROI -20%
Net -28%
bet $334
tr/day 0.6
WR 51%
WR 7/30/all —/55/51
draw 19%
Kalshi 87%
active 8d
11537
0xbabf…320b
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $162
tr/day 11.8
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all 53/71/71
draw 75%
Kalshi 92%
active 5d
bet $26
tr/day 1.4
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/55/45
draw 46%
Kalshi 61%
active 1d
+$185 ·14🔓
ROI -13%
Net -21%
bet $302
tr/day 0.4
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 1d
bet $180
tr/day 6.8
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all 25/49/49
draw 89%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$446 ·1🔓
ROI +1%
Net -12%
bet $146
tr/day 0.2
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/43
draw 35%
Kalshi 70%
active 11d
bet $371
tr/day 1.0
WR 49%
WR 7/30/all —/—/49
draw 77%
Kalshi 81%
active 11d
bet $28
tr/day 2.6
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 59/57/50
draw 23%
Kalshi 96%
active 0d
11544
0x3a0d…ff73
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche crypto
bet $1,161
tr/day 0.0
WR 94%
WR 7/30/all —/100/94
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 11d
bet $306
tr/day 2.1
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all 60/61/62
draw 100%
Kalshi 93%
active 0d
bet $175
tr/day 0.0
WR 0%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 0%
active 11d
bet $379
tr/day 0.0
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/33
draw 100%
Kalshi 75%
active 11d
bet $37
tr/day 0.1
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/—/69
draw 35%
Kalshi 69%
active 11d
bet $104
tr/day 3.5
WR 99%
WR 7/30/all 100/96/99
draw 0%
Kalshi 99%
active 0d
bet $28
tr/day 0.2
WR 69%
WR 7/30/all —/—/69
draw 100%
Kalshi 92%
active 11d
#11501
negative
other
#11502
negative
crypto
#11503
negative
world
#11504
negative
world
#11505
negative
crypto
#11506
negative
weather
#11507
negative
sports
#11508
other
#11509
negative
world
#11510
negative
world
#11511
world
#11512
negative
world
#11513
negative
crypto
#11514
negative
sports
#11515
negative
other
#11516
negative
crypto
#11517
negative
other
#11518
negative
weather
#11519
negative
weather
#11520
negative
crypto
#11521
negative
sports
#11522
negative
sports
#11523
negative
sports
#11524
negative
crypto
#11525
negative
sports
#11526
negative
sports
#11527
negative
sports
#11528
negative
politics
#11529
negative
other
#11530
negative
other
#11531
negative
crypto
#11532
negative
other
#11533
negative
other
#11534
negative
other
#11535
negative
world
#11536
negative
sports
#11537
trap
sports
#11538
negative
other
#11539
—
world
#11540
negative
sports
#11541
negative
crypto
#11542
negative
sports
#11543
negative
sports
#11544
negative
crypto
#11545
negative
sports
#11546
other
#11547
negative
sports
#11548
negative
other
#11549
negative
crypto
#11550
negative
sports
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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