Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:29:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FF 0xffff…9f4f crypto 576 markets active 4d ago coverage 27d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 27d only
✗ bot/MM pace (125 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$349 (-5%) realized −$349 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -34% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -49% what you keep after slip
Net edge-49%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate12%97W / 744L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day124.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,063
7 days−$2,790
14 days−$2,262
30 days−$2,036
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,473
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (125 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-40.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 426 -88.7% -89.8% 3% 3% -87.2%
≤30d 725 -46.1% -51.2% 10% 9% -37.4%
≤90d 841 -33.9% -40.2% 12% 11% -27.5%
all 841 -33.9% -40.2% 12% 11% -27.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover124.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.2% 11% -27.5%
10% ← realistic here -45.9% 11% -34.4%
15% -51.1% 10% -40.8%
20% -55.9% 10% -46.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -20% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -34% · $-wt -20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +23% → late -91% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
5.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$55 vs −$9 · ×5.91 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$349
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses97 / 744
Open positions0
Markets (closed)841 / 576
History coverage27d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day124.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 841 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $16 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $14 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records