Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:55:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xfffa…ecfe
crypto · 1904 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$7,899 +54%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,899 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$65
Realized+$7,899
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses578 / 495
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1073 / 1904
History coverage11d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day252.1
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1073 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$272
7 days+$3,848
14 days+$7,899
30 days+$7,899
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 29¢ 100¢ $6 $20 +$14 (+245%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $3 $8 +$6 (+203%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 28¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$5 (+257%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 28¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+257%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 28¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$4 (+257%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 31¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+223%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 25¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+300%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 26¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+285%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 27¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$2 (+270%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 34¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+194%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 35¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+186%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$10,045
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $6 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $15 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $7 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $22 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $23 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $17 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $14 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $6 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)+70.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 796 +52.2% +37.7% 43% 43% +55.4%
≤30d 1073 +88.4% +70.5% 54% 54% +82.2%
≤90d 1073 +88.4% +70.5% 54% 54% +82.2%
all 1073 +88.4% +70.5% 54% 54% +82.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover252.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +70.5% 54% +82.2%
10% ← realistic here +54.1% 53% +64.8%
15% +39.3% 53% +48.8%
20% +25.6% 53% +34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.75 · official $64.75 (match) · 3500 history records