trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 100% | 0% | -7.9% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 100% | 0% | -7.9% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -49.1% | -53.9% | 50% | 0% | -40.8% |
| all | 11 | -49.9% | -54.6% | 27% | 18% | -61.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -54.6% | 18% | -61.6% |
| 10% | -59.0% | 18% | -65.3% |
| 15% | -62.9% | 9% | -68.6% |
| 20% | -66.6% | 0% | -71.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19? | Yes | 57¢ | 66¢ | $44 | $51 | +$7 (+17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in | Jun 23 | $44 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Apr 02 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Jan 26 | $10 | −$6 | -62% |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 26 | $14 | −$9 | -62% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Jan 26 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)? | Jan 23 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)? | Jan 23 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | Jan 18 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Jan 17 | $13 | +$5 | +35% |
| Will the US strike Mexico next? | Jan 15 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | Jan 15 | $11 | +$4 | +39% |