Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:58:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xffd6…7d8e
crypto · 46 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$8 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$57 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$57
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses29 / 17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)46 / 46
History coverage1d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day121.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$57
7 days−$57
14 days−$57
30 days−$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$22 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$13 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $37 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$18 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$12 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$6 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +88%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -4.5% -13.6% 63% 48% -19.3%
≤30d 46 -4.5% -13.6% 63% 48% -19.3%
≤90d 46 -4.5% -13.6% 63% 48% -19.3%
all 46 -4.5% -13.6% 63% 48% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover121.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 48% -19.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 35% -27.0%
15% -29.4% 24% -34.1%
20% -36.3% 15% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 129 history records