Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:15:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xffcf…0fed
crypto · 322 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,900 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,879 · open −$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,484
Realized−$5,879
Unrealized−$21
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses232 / 546
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Open positions4
Markets (closed)778 / 322
History coverage1d
Avg bet$98
Trades / day3206.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 778 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,879
7 days−$5,879
14 days−$5,879
30 days−$5,879
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $297 $482 +$185 (+62%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 38¢ 100¢ $129 $336 +$207 (+160%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 43¢ 100¢ $101 $235 +$135 (+133%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $69 $144 +$75 (+108%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 41¢ 100¢ $30 $74 +$44 (+143%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $30 $58 +$28 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $23 $33 +$11 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $18 $28 +$10 (+52%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 38¢ 100¢ $9 $23 +$14 (+163%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $9 $23 +$14 (+163%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $7 $10 +$2 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 49¢ 50¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 68¢ 50¢ $7 $5 −$2 (-26%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+163%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 78¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 28¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+257%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+69%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 78¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $129 +$207 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $101 +$135 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $93 −$93 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$44 +143%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$11 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$14 +163%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$14 +163%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +163%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +257%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +257%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +113%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +163%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +257%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +163%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +163%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +257%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +257%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$146
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $0 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-50.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 778 -45.5% -50.7% 30% 25% -23.7%
≤30d 778 -45.5% -50.7% 30% 25% -23.7%
≤90d 778 -45.5% -50.7% 30% 25% -23.7%
all 778 -45.5% -50.7% 30% 25% -23.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3206.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.7% 25% -23.7%
10% ← realistic here -55.4% 20% -31.0%
15% -59.7% 14% -37.6%
20% -63.7% 9% -43.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,484.21 · official $1,460.80 · 3500 history records