Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:54:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xffc9…bf01
sports · 1286 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$1,359 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$222 · open +$30
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$374
Realized+$222
Unrealized+$30
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses813 / 458
Est. fees paid−$300
Open positions14
Markets (closed)1271 / 1286
History coverage37d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day59.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 14 History 1271 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$83
14 days−$96
30 days−$209
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 63¢ 94¢ $59 $89 +$30 (+50%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 Under 17¢ 28¢ $39 $65 +$26 (+68%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? No 96¢ 96¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Germany 69¢ 68¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 Over 65¢ 64¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Saudi Arabia 59¢ 58¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? No 79¢ 78¢ $20 $19 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) Egypt 69¢ 66¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? No 74¢ 68¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-9%)
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Los Angeles Sparks 63¢ 100¢ $8 $12 +$4 (+59%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 22¢ $20 $8 −$12 (-61%)
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Türkiye 31¢ 6¢ $20 $4 −$15 (-79%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 14 $20 +$19 +97%
Spread: Knicks (-16.5) Jun 14 $20 +$1 +7%
Spread: Knicks (-14.5) Jun 14 $20 +$2 +10%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5 Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5 Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 14 $40 +$46 +114%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $20 +$3 +16%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $40 +$34 +86%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $60 +$1 +2%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$23 +114%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $100 −$58 -58%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 12 $20 +$2 +11%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $20 +$9 +46%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 +$14 +70%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $20 +$11 +55%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $20 +$16 +79%
Czechia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $20 +$7 +36%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $20 +$5 +24%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $20 +$4 +21%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $60 +$5 +8%
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Mai Hontama Jun 11 $20 +$1 +3%
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-5.5) Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
ITF Wuning: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Sara Saito Jun 11 $60 +$40 +66%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 11 $20 +$9 +46%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 11 $20 +$19 +93%
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) Jun 11 $20 +$20 +101%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 Jun 11 $40 −$40 -100%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $40 +$46 +114%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $4 +$1 +36%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $40 −$40 -100%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 10 $40 +$7 +17%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $20 +$5 +27%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $40 −$17 -43%
Spread: Nigeria (-1.5) Jun 10 $20 +$1 +3%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $40 −$18 -45%
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5) Jun 10 $20 +$2 +12%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 10 $40 +$1 +2%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $20 +$9 +46%
Will Norrby IF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $20 +$4 +18%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $20 +$2 +12%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $40 −$12 -29%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $60 −$19 -32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 81% +$70
other 19% +$183
crypto 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY No 74¢ $20 59m
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 31¢ $20 59m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 63¢ $20 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 BUY Under 17¢ $20 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 BUY Under 17¢ $20 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 63¢ $20 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 63¢ $20 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $20 1h
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury BUY Los Angeles Sparks 63¢ $8 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 BUY Over 56¢ $20 4h
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Knicks 46¢ $20 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5 BUY Over 71¢ $20 4h
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Knicks 46¢ $20 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5 BUY Over 55¢ $20 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 86¢ $20 5h
Spread: Germany (-2.5) BUY Germany 69¢ $20 23h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 65¢ $20 23h
Spread: Knicks (-16.5) BUY Spurs 93¢ $20 31h
Spread: Knicks (-14.5) BUY Spurs 91¢ $20 31h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 96¢ $20 31h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 96¢ $20 31h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 BUY Under 63¢ $20 31h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $20 31h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 64¢ $20 38h
Spread: Canada (-2.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 90¢ $20 38h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $20 47h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 68¢ $20 47h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $20 2d
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $20 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $20 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 260 +1.6% -8.1% 61% 46% -8.6%
≤30d 918 +1.3% -8.4% 63% 51% -10.2%
≤90d 1271 +1.9% -7.8% 64% 52% -8.9%
all 1271 +1.9% -7.8% 64% 52% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.8% 52% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.6% 41% -17.6%
15% -24.6% 29% -25.6%
20% -32.0% 21% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $373.77 · official $373.80 (match) · 3500 history records