Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xffc7…f74a
crypto · 51 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$1 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses29 / 20
Open positions2
Markets (closed)49 / 51
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day48.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 20¢ 26¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 16¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$1
culture 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -8.8% -17.5% 59% 51% -8.8%
≤30d 49 -8.8% -17.5% 59% 51% -8.8%
≤90d 49 -8.8% -17.5% 59% 51% -8.8%
all 49 -8.8% -17.5% 59% 51% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 51% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 37% -17.6%
15% -32.6% 33% -25.5%
20% -39.2% 24% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.23 · official $2.23 (match) · 142 history records