Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:16:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xffc0…41e6
crypto · 193 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,301 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,343 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,343
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses101 / 92
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)193 / 193
History coverage123d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day4.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 193 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 38.5 and 39.0 million views on day 6? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$9 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$10 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -95%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $78 +$23 +29%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $38 −$38 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Mar 03 $618 −$615 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Mar 03 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Mar 03 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Mar 03 $589 +$38 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Mar 03 $541 +$59 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Mar 03 $386 +$138 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Mar 03 $21 +$6 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Mar 02 $351 +$35 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Mar 02 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Mar 02 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Mar 02 $332 +$36 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Mar 02 $5 +$9 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Mar 02 $170 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Mar 02 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Mar 02 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Mar 02 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Mar 02 $324 +$10 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Mar 02 $226 +$98 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Mar 02 $222 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Mar 02 $211 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Mar 02 $209 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Mar 02 $209 +$11 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Mar 02 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Mar 02 $248 −$29 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Mar 02 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Mar 02 $20 −$19 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Mar 02 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Mar 02 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Mar 01 $615 −$56 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Mar 01 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Mar 01 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Mar 01 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Mar 01 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Mar 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 71% −$581
politics 22% −$1,636
world 5% −$56
other 2% −$92
sports 1% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $8 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 77¢ $78 8h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $38 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $618 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $5 102d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -18.4% -26.2% 47% 40% -16.4%
≤30d 15 -18.4% -26.2% 47% 40% -16.4%
≤90d 15 -18.4% -26.2% 47% 40% -16.4%
all 193 -7.9% -16.7% 52% 40% -22.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.7% 40% -22.5%
10% -24.7% 30% -29.9%
15% -32.0% 24% -36.7%
20% -38.6% 19% -42.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 596 history records