Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:45:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FF
0xffa9…1168
crypto · 645 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,551 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,551 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,551
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses544 / 101
Whale WR (big bets)91%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)645 / 645
History coverage15d
Avg bet$161
Trades / day188.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 0 History 645 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$109
7 days−$1,023
14 days−$2,459
30 days−$2,551
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$3 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$14 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $65 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$34 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$8 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $91 −$87 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $122 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$13 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $22 +$1 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $80 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $64 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $40 −$40 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $108 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$1 -4%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $124 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $61 +$2 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $82 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $101 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $61 +$14 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $201 +$13 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $253 −$253 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$4 +334%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $454 +$25 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $314 −$173 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $559 +$28 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $352 +$24 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $152 +$15 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $102 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 11 $502 +$28 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$1,556
other 15% −$995
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 17m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $64 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 300 -2.2% -11.6% 85% 16% -11.4%
≤30d 645 -3.6% -12.8% 84% 15% -11.7%
≤90d 645 -3.6% -12.8% 84% 15% -11.7%
all 645 -3.6% -12.8% 84% 15% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover188.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 15% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 4% -20.2%
15% -28.8% 3% -27.9%
20% -35.8% 1% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records